Match Info

Suomi-sarja - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 March 2026, Monday


	Raahe-Kiekko		LeKi

	1	X	2
	3.7	5.6	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 (3.7)	5.6 (5.6)	1.5 (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 11.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Raahe-Kiekko
24.2%

Draw
16%

LeKi
59.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

16.1%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Raahe-Kiekko have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for LeKi have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Raahe-Kiekko than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LeKi than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 3)
06:44, 0 - 1, Koivunen V. (G), Holli M. (A),
15:44, 0 - 2, Holli M. (G), Laurila M. (A), Koivunen V. (A2)
17:24, 0 - 3, Sinisalo V. (G), Keskinen V. (A), Tiala A. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 2)
03:53, 1 - 3, Tervo T. (G), Koski K. (A),
06:06, 1 - 4, Sinisalo V. (G), Kaihua T. (A), Tiala A. (A2)
18:53, 1 - 5, Kaihua T. (G),

Preview

LeKi leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RaaheK won 1.

RaaheK is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

LeKi is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, LeKi is considered a favorite.

We predict that LeKi will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, RaaheK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 38:55. (average 2.9:4.2).

Including home matches between the teams, RaaheK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:27. (average 3.1:3.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	LeKi	8	4	2	1	1	31:17	17
3	RaaheK	8	5	0	1	2	24:18	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Raahe-Kiekko
Finnish Suomi-sarja
25.02.26	LeKi - Raahe-Kiekko	7:0 ✺
14.02.26	Porvoo Hunters - Raahe-Kiekko	1:0 penalties ✺
06.02.26	Muik Hockey - Raahe-Kiekko	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	Raahe-Kiekko - SaPKo	1:3 ✺
24.01.26	Raahe-Kiekko - Riemu	6:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLLW
- LeKi Hockey
Finnish Suomi-sarja
25.02.26	LeKi - Raahe-Kiekko	7:0 ✺
13.02.26	Forssan Palloseura - LeKi	3:4 ✺
12.02.26	LeKi - Haukat Järvenpää	5:4 ✺
08.02.26	PEPO Lappeenranta - LeKi	3:7 ✺
07.02.26	SaPKo - LeKi	4:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Suomi-sarja
25.02.26	LeKi - Raahe-Kiekko	7:0
23.11.25	Raahe-Kiekko - LeKi	3:4 penalties
27.09.25	LeKi - Raahe-Kiekko	3:2 OT
08.12.24	LeKi - Raahe-Kiekko	5:1
26.10.24	Raahe-Kiekko - LeKi	7:3
06.01.24	LeKi - Raahe-Kiekko	6:2
07.10.23	Raahe-Kiekko - LeKi	2:4

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