Match Info

ICE Hockey League - Round 1

Date: 18 September 2026, Friday

Location: Eisarena Salzburg (Salzburg)


	Red Bull Salzburg		EC KAC

	1	X	2
	2.05	4.20	2.75
	2.05	4.25	2.80
	2.02	3.95	2.95
	2.02	4.04	3.04
	1.98	4.43	2.92
	2.00	4.00	3.00
	1.95	4.10	3.02
	1.99	4.20	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.02)	4.15 ↓ (4.2)	2.92 ↑ (2.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Salzburg
46%

Draw
22.3%

EC KAC
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

21.5%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

23%

36%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Salzburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

EC KAC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Salzburg than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC KAC than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Red Bull Salzburg - EC KAC Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
35. Tolvanen A. (G)	33. Vorauer F. (G)
95. Horl L.	28. Goransson M.
22. Robertson D.	41. Jensen J. (A)
3. Schneider P. (A)	8. Petersen N.
70. Nissner B.	9. Mursak J.
24. Poisson N.	94. Drozg J.
Line 2
62. Kalynuk W.	82. Nickl T.
4. Nienhuis N.	39. Simovic F.
96. Huber M. (A)	16. Schwinger S.
77. Brooks A.	27. Hundertpfund T. (C)
16. Auer L. C.	89. Herburger R.
Line 3
6. Lee J.	64. Preiml M.
44. Galipeau O.	3. MacKinnon W.
12. Raffl M.	98. Obersteiner D.
68. Gesson A.	74. St. Denis T.
8. Bohm M.	90. Fraser M.
Line 4
7. Wurzer M.	19. Waschnig D.
49. Norlin I.	51. Bohs G.
26. Hochkofler P.	45. Ofner B.
9. Wukovits A.	81. van Ee F.
5. Raffl T. (C)	6. Sablattnig T.
Substitutes
30. Kickert D. (G)	32. Dahm S. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 2)
01:20, 0 - 1, Schwinger S. (G),
14:00, 0 - 2, Hundertpfund T. (G), Schwinger S. (A),
2nd Period (0 - 2)
02:39, 0 - 3, Preiml M. (G), St. Denis T. (A), Obersteiner D. (A2)
03:20, 0 - 4, Drozg J. (G), Nickl T. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 3)
04:27, 1 - 4, Robertson D. (G), Poisson N. (A),
09:05, 1 - 5, Obersteiner D. (G), Petersen N. (A), Jensen J. (A2)
09:26, 1 - 6, Goransson M. (G), Hundertpfund T. (A), Herburger R. (A2)
17:58, 1 - 7, Waschnig D. (G), Goransson M. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Bull Salzburg won 4.

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

EC KAC could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Red Bull Salzburg holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Red Bull Salzburg has recorded 13 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 63:46 (averaging 3.2:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Red Bull Salzburg against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 33:21 goals (averaging 3.3:2.1 per game).

Outrights of Austrian Ice Hockey League for now

Salzburg: 18.93% Klagenfurt: 17.26%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
3	Klagenfurt	9	5	1	0	3	37:27	17
7	Salzburg	9	4	0	1	4	30:31	13

Last Results with these Odds

Red Bull Salzburg - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 44.75%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Red Bull Salzburg
Champions League Ice Hockey
13.09.26	Växjö Lakers - Red Bull Salzburg	6:3 ✺
11.09.26	Rögle - Red Bull Salzburg	5:0 ✺
05.09.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Bílí Tygři Liberec	3:0 ✺
03.09.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Kölner Haie	2:5 ✺
Red Bulls Salute
22.08.26	Biel - Red Bull Salzburg	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWLL
- EC KAC
Champions League Ice Hockey
12.09.26	Kölner Haie - EC KAC	3:1 ✺
10.09.26	Storhamar Dragons - EC KAC	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	EC KAC - Fribourg-Gottéron	1:3 ✺
03.09.26	EC KAC - Bordeaux	2:1 AET ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
30.08.26	EC KAC - Saskatchewan Huskies	1:3
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Austrian Ice Hockey League
25.01.26	EC KAC - Red Bull Salzburg	3:4
05.12.25	Red Bull Salzburg - EC KAC	1:2
23.11.25	EC KAC - Red Bull Salzburg	3:4 OT
14.09.25	Red Bull Salzburg - EC KAC	4:1
11.04.25	Red Bull Salzburg - EC KAC	4:0
08.04.25	EC KAC - Red Bull Salzburg	1:3
06.04.25	Red Bull Salzburg - EC KAC	4:0

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