Match Info

Suomi-sarja

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday


	Riemu		Haukat Järvenpää

	1	X	2
	4.9	6	1.35
	4.75	5.75	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (4.75)	5.88 ↑ (5.75)	1.34 ↑ (1.32)

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Riemu
18.4%

Draw
15.1%

Haukat Järvenpää
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

15.2%

66.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.2%

15%

67%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Riemu have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Haukat Järvenpää has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Riemu than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haukat Järvenpää than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 2)
06:41, 0 - 1, Kankkunen P. (G), Sieppi V. (A), Jokinen J. (A2)
08:10, 0 - 2, Luhtanen E. (G), Vilen E. (A), Ronkko R. (A2)
10:46, 1 - 2, Lautala J. (G), Maki M. (A), Tarvainen T. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 2)
00:47, 2 - 2, Rauvola M. (G), Marchesani Antonio (A), Heikkinen L. (A2)
13:21, 2 - 3, Surenkin P. (G), Ylikarppa J. (A), Linnonmaa N. (A2)
16:51, 2 - 4, Vilen E. (G), Luhtanen E. (A), Ronkko R. (A2)
18:15, 3 - 4, Jauhiainen R. (G), Leinonen S. (A), Autio M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
04:18, 4 - 4, Heikkinen L. (G), Rauvola M. (A), Tapper V. (A2)
06:10, 5 - 4, Nurmi E. (G), Marchesani Antonio (A), Heikkinen L. (A2)
10:23, 5 - 5, Railo A. (G), Lottanen N. (A), Lampi E. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 1)
04:37, 5 - 6, Luhtanen E. (G), Ronkko R. (A), Olenius L. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Riemu won 2.

In recent matches, Riemu has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Järvenpää is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Riemu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Järvenpää is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Riemu won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 84:71. (average 4.2:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Riemu won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 51:38. (average 4.6:3.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
2	Jarvenpaa	8	5	1	0	2	32:23	17
12	Riemu	5	1	1	1	2	19:22	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liikunnan Riemu
Finnish Suomi-sarja
11.12.25	Riemu - JHT Kalajoki	1:5 ✺
05.12.25	LeKi - Riemu	7:4 ✺
30.11.25	Riemu - Forssan Palloseura	5:4 ✺
26.11.25	Riemu - Virkiä	3:1 ✺
23.11.25	Riemu - Laser HT	2:3 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LLWWL
- Haukat Järvenpää
Finnish Suomi-sarja
03.01.26	Haukat Järvenpää - SaPKo	6:2 ✺
13.12.25	Haukat Järvenpää - Laser HT	5:1 ✺
12.12.25	Haukat Järvenpää - Kotkan Titaanit	6:2 ✺
05.12.25	Forssan Palloseura - Haukat Järvenpää	3:2 OT ✺
28.11.25	Haukat Järvenpää - Porvoo Hunters	5:4 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Suomi-sarja
04.10.25	Haukat Järvenpää - Riemu	5:4 OT
30.11.24	Riemu - Haukat Järvenpää	0:3
12.10.24	Haukat Järvenpää - Riemu	3:2 penalties
24.02.24	Haukat Järvenpää - Riemu	5:6
10.12.23	Riemu - Haukat Järvenpää	5:4
25.11.23	Haukat Järvenpää - Riemu	4:3 penalties
06.01.23	Riemu - Haukat Järvenpää	3:4 penalties

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