Match Info

VHL

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sports Palace (Tyumen) 🌤️ ...


	Rubin Tyumen		Zvezda Moscow

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.84	3.21
	2.03	4.15	2.99	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2)	4 ↑ (3.8)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.50

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rubin Tyumen
46.3%

Draw
23.5%

Zvezda Moscow
30.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.9%

24.7%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

23.4%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rubin Tyumen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Zvezda Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Tyumen than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Rubin Tyumen - Zvezda Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rubin will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Zvezda Moscow will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Gromovik Y. (G)	45. Gluschenko R. (G)
11. Popov Y.	49. Bryutov Y. (A)
12. Lyutov D.	32. Rogov I.
22. Babenko Y.	19. Prokhorov A. (C)
10. Petrakov I.	98. Pankratov S. (A)
27. Davydov D.	79. Dronyk V.
Line 2
7. Brinkmann A.	3. Sidorov M.
55. Stikhanovsky M.	8. Bobryashov N.
80. Koshurnikov K.	97. Churkin A.
9. Ivanov S.	75. Averochkin M.
78. Meshkov P.	23. Khulapov D.
Line 3
93. Vashchenko N.	94. Lypkan M.
24. Kolganov I.	6. Gordeyev M.
43. Voronkov P.	90. Pautov I.
57. Kanitsky Y.	62. Shalyshkin N.
8. Bryutov N.	77. Solovyov Y.
Line 4
6. Gatiyatulin I.	82. Smyshlyayev P.
3. Ivanov Y. D.	39. Kuzminov Y.
85. Styozhkin I.	81. Lapin S.
66. Piliya D.	70. Yanchenko I.
Substitutes
90. Gabdrakhmanov D. (G)	64. Andreyanov P. (G)
	95. Vasin M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
16:55, 0 - 1, Averochkin M. (G), Khulapov D. (A), Churkin A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
09:00, 0 - 2, Khulapov D. (G), Gordeyev M. (A),
09:46, 1 - 2, Brinkmann A. (G), Ivanov Y. D. (A),
3rd Period (2 - 0)
02:41, 2 - 2, Davydov D. (G), Petrakov I. (A), Ivanov S. (A2)
09:14, 3 - 2, Ivanov S. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 2.

Rubin is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Zvezda Moscow has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Zvezda Moscow may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Rubin is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Rubin will win today's game, with odds of 2.02.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 51:43. (average 2.6:2.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 2.5:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Rubin Tyumen - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 46.9%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rubin Tyumen
VHL
21.10.25	Rubin Tyumen - Omskie Krylia	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Rubin Tyumen - Zauralie Kurgan	3:2 penalties ✺
11.10.25	Buran Voronezh - Rubin Tyumen	1:2 ✺
09.10.25	Rostov - Rubin Tyumen	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Tambov - Rubin Tyumen	5:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWL
- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
23.10.25	Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk - Zvezda Moscow	2:1 ✺
19.10.25	Zvezda Moscow - Buran Voronezh	0:3 ✺
16.10.25	Zvezda Moscow - Rostov	3:1 ✺
14.10.25	Zvezda Moscow - Tambov	5:3 ✺
09.10.25	Dynamo-Altay - Zvezda Moscow	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

VHL
10.01.25	Rubin Tyumen - Zvezda Moscow	2:4
09.11.24	Zvezda Moscow - Rubin Tyumen	6:3
07.12.23	Zvezda Moscow - Rubin Tyumen	3:2 OT
08.11.23	Rubin Tyumen - Zvezda Moscow	4:3
03.12.22	Rubin Tyumen - Zvezda Moscow	3:0
19.11.22	Zvezda Moscow - Rubin Tyumen	2:5
03.02.22	Zvezda Moscow - Rubin Tyumen	2:3

Rubin Tyumen - Zvezda Moscow