Match Info

VHL

Date: 16 October 2025, Thursday

Location: CSKA Arena (Moscow)


	Zvezda Moscow		Rostov

	1	X	2
	1.8	4.05	3.75
	1.76	4.3	3.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.56)	4.18 ↓ (4.65)	3.76 ↓ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zvezda Moscow
52.6%

Draw
22.4%

Rostov
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

20.2%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

19.6%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zvezda Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Zvezda Moscow's form might have worsened.

Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rostov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zvezda Moscow than the current prediction. (+9.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Zvezda Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rostov than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rostov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Zvezda Moscow - Rostov Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rostov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
45. Gluschenko R. (G)	31. Kapustin K. (G)
49. Bryutov Y.	62. Dimitrov N.
32. Rogov I.	11. Tsalpanov Y.
19. Prokhorov A. (C)	27. Kalmykov D. (C)
98. Pankratov S. (A)	21. Sergiyevsky Y. (A)
79. Dronyk V.	98. Levinsky A.
Line 2
80. Barabosha A.	94. Voronin N. (A)
8. Bobryashov N. (A)	19. Vasilyev I. M.
39. Kuzminov Y.	9. Myagkov V.
75. Averochkin M.	25. Sedantsov O.
23. Khulapov D.	95. Korbit Y.
Line 3
94. Lypkan M.	37. Opotsky R.
6. Gordeyev M.	5. Makarov S.
90. Pautov I.	64. Sorokin S.
69. Maistrenko O.	7. Galushkin A.
77. Solovyov Y.	17. Smolyov I.
Line 4
3. Sidorov M.	55. Machugin D.
97. Churkin A.	15. Kuznetsov A.
62. Shalyshkin N.	23. Kamensky Y.
15. Maximov M.	88. Voloskov G.
Substitutes
31. Novozhilov I. (G)	70. Petkilev Y. (G)
70. Yanchenko I.	20. Puzyakov M. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 0)
01:02, 1 - 0, Solovyov Y. (G), Maistrenko O. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:10, 2 - 0, Rogov I. (G),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
18:08, 2 - 1, Korbit Y. (G), Sergiyevsky Y. (A), Voronin N. (A2)
19:34, 3 - 1, Prokhorov A. (G),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 4.

In recent matches, Zvezda Moscow has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rostov's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Rostov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Zvezda Moscow has had a series of away games.

Recently, Rostov has had a series of home games.

In this match, Zvezda Moscow is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Zvezda Moscow won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 2.3:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Zvezda Moscow won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 2.2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Zvezda Moscow
VHL
14.10.25	Zvezda Moscow - Tambov	5:3 ✺
09.10.25	Dynamo-Altay - Zvezda Moscow	4:2 ✺
07.10.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Zvezda Moscow	5:1 ✺
05.10.25	Sokol Krasnoyarsk - Zvezda Moscow	5:0 ✺
02.10.25	Norilsk - Zvezda Moscow	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLW
- HC Rostov
VHL
11.10.25	Rostov - Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk	3:4 OT ✺
09.10.25	Rostov - Rubin Tyumen	1:2 ✺
07.10.25	Rostov - Zauralie Kurgan	2:4 ✺
05.10.25	Rostov - Omskie Krylia	1:4 ✺
26.09.25	Buran Voronezh - Rostov	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

VHL
20.12.24	Zvezda Moscow - Rostov	3:2 OT
15.11.24	Rostov - Zvezda Moscow	3:4 OT
15.01.24	Rostov - Zvezda Moscow	0:3
08.10.23	Zvezda Moscow - Rostov	3:2
25.01.23	Rostov - Zvezda Moscow	3:2
30.09.22	Zvezda Moscow - Rostov	4:1
01.12.21	Zvezda Moscow - Rostov	1:2

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