The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Samara 23.6%
Draw 19.4%
Ermak Angarsk 57%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.3%
19.4%
58.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.1%
21%
54.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Samara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samara than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
03:30, 0 - 1, Prokhorov I. (G), Krasnoyarov A. (A),
10:11, 1 - 1, Ilyin A. (G), Kostromin E. (A), Valuyev A. (A2)
18:43, 2 - 1, Kostromin E. (G), Meier D. (A), Ilyin A. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 1)
00:45, 3 - 1, Bunakov N. (G),
13:50, 3 - 2, Prochorov I. (G), Krasnoyarov A. (A), Kartashov A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
06:45, 3 - 3, Prokhorov I. (G), Krasnoyarov A. (A),
15:06, 3 - 4, Krasnoyarov A. (G), Bykov M. (A),
Preview
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Ermak could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Ermak has had a run of games away from home.
In this matchup, Ermak is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, Samara has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:14 (averaging 3:2.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Samara against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 10:7 goals (averaging 3.3:2.3 per game).
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