Match Info

NMHL

Date: 11 December 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished


	Sokol Novocheboksarsk		Ermak Angarsk

	1	X	2
	3.14	4.2	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (3.01)	4.2 ↓ (4.7)	1.85 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokol Novocheboksarsk
29%

Draw
21.7%

Ermak Angarsk
49.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.8%

19.7%

49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

19.3%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sokol Novocheboksarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Ermak Angarsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sokol Novocheboksarsk than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ermak Angarsk than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Ermak Angarsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 2)
12:27, 0 - 1, Bogdanovich N. (G), Vildanov K. (A), Busygin M. (A2)
19:27, 0 - 2, Vildanov K. (G), Kutyrev K. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
15:09, 1 - 2, Nikulayev D. (G), Nuyakshev I. (A),

Preview

Novocheboksarsk is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Ermak has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Novocheboksarsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ermak might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Novocheboksarsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Including home match between the teams, Novocheboksarsk won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokol Novocheboksarsk
RHL
10.12.25	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Ermak Angarsk	4:2 ✺
07.12.25	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - MHK Ryazan	2:3 OT ✺
06.12.25	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - MHK Ryazan	1:4 ✺
25.11.25	Samara - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	3:2 OT ✺
24.11.25	Samara - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLL
- Ermak Angarsk
RHL
10.12.25	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Ermak Angarsk	4:2 ✺
07.12.25	Progress Glazov - Ermak Angarsk	2:9 ✺
06.12.25	Progress Glazov - Ermak Angarsk	1:3 ✺
27.11.25	Ermak Angarsk - Tambov	1:2 penalties ✺
26.11.25	Ermak Angarsk - Tambov	9:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

RHL
10.12.25	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Ermak Angarsk	4:2

Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Ermak Angarsk