Match Info

NMHL

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday


	Sokol Novocheboksarsk		Gvardiya Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	1.68	4.5	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 (1.68)	4.5 (4.5)	3.58 (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sokol Novocheboksarsk
54.3%

Draw
20.3%

Gvardiya Krasnodar
25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

20.8%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Sokol Novocheboksarsk have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Gvardiya Krasnodar have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sokol Novocheboksarsk than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gvardiya Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
10:12, 1 - 0, Maltsev D. (G), Ulitin R. (A), Zharovtsev A. (A2)
11:11, 1 - 1, Ryabitsev D. (G), Petrushenko D. (A),
19:37, 2 - 1, Akhrameyev N. (G), Dobrovolsky Y. (A), Shalnev N. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
19:55, 3 - 1, Dobrovolsky Y. (G), Akhrameyev N. (A),
3rd Period (3 - 0)
07:53, 4 - 1, Bitev A. (G), Ulitin R. (A), Zharovtsev A. (A2)
12:25, 5 - 1, Khoroshunov R. (G), Dobrovolsky Y. (A),
16:38, 6 - 1, Arslanov I. (G), Fesko A. (A), Arkhipov M. (A2)

Preview

Novocheboksarsk is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Novocheboksarsk won 4.

In recent matches, Novocheboksarsk has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Gvardiya is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Gvardiya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.

In this match, Novocheboksarsk is the team to beat.

We predict that Novocheboksarsk will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Novocheboksarsk won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 32:28. (average 3.2:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Novocheboksarsk won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 2.5:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sokol Novocheboksarsk
RHL
13.03.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	6:3 ✺
08.03.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Proton Novovoronezh	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Proton Novovoronezh	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Bobrov	0:1 penalties ✺
03.03.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Bobrov	3:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW
- Gvardiya Krasnodar
RHL
13.03.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	6:3 ✺
05.03.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Tambov	1:4 ✺
04.03.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Tambov	3:4 penalties ✺
24.02.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Progress Glazov	3:4 ✺
21.02.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Ermak Angarsk	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
13.03.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	6:3
17.02.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	6:2
16.02.26	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	1:3
02.04.25	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Gvardiya Krasnodar	3:0
30.03.25	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	3:4
29.03.25	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	3:5
12.01.25	Gvardiya Krasnodar - Sokol Novocheboksarsk	3:4

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