The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Stavanger Oilers 20.8%
Draw 19.6%
Storhamar Dragons 59.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.7%
22.9%
47.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.3%
24.1%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stavanger Oilers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Stavanger Oilers's form might have worsened.
Storhamar Dragons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Storhamar Dragons's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stavanger Oilers than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Stavanger Oilers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Storhamar Dragons than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Storhamar Dragons, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Stavanger Oilers - Storhamar Dragons Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Emond Z. (G)
63. Parks T. (G)
11. McCarthy C.
88. Hjelm A.
51. Norstebo M. (A)
77. Ronningen S.
85. Karlsen C.
12. Berglund J. (C)
16. Strandborg A. (C)
86. Cangelosi A.
10. Hoff L. (A)
27. Martinsen A. (A)
Line 2
5. Klavestad A.
5. Gatenby J.
21. Persson F.
28. Bull C.
78. Henriksen A. T.
22. Ronnild M. (A)
29. Rensfeldt L.
17. Salsten E.
65. Blomstrand L.
13. Hjalmarsson S.
Line 3
27. Fagerudd M.
54. Hurrod S.
13. Kovalenko D.
19. Krupic A.
28. Pettersson L.
45. Sandnes A.
76. Lokkeberg J.
83. Gulbrandsen K.
23. Christian Rodne L.
92. Nilsgard O.
Line 4
6. Lunde F.
14. Saetre L.
47. Karlsen S.
26. Papuga M.
84. Straume Vatne E.
29. Larsen D.
14. Kuraiev D.
40. Skedung I.
19. Faret V.
24. Nystuen S.
Substitutes
38. Holm H. (G)
35. Nereng Olsen L. A. (G)
Coaches
. Gjose A.
. Thoresen P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
07:00, 0 - 1, Hjalmarsson S. (G), Salsten E. (A), Ronnild M. (A2)
12:03, Berglund J. (2 min),
12:21, Martinsen A. (2 min),
15:08, 1 - 1, Christian Rodne L. (G),
16:30, Ronnild M. (2 min),
16:30, Ronningen S. (2 min),
16:43, 2 - 1, Hoff L. (G), Klavestad A. (A), Karlsen C. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
03:00, Ronningen S. (2 min),
10:19, Klavestad A. (2 min),
12:41, 3 - 1, Blomstrand L. (G), Karlsen C. (A), Strandborg A. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 1)
07:00, 3 - 2, Krupic A. (G), Larsen D. (A), Nystuen S. (A2)
15:58, Salsten E. (2 min),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stavanger won 1.
Stavanger is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Storhamar has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Stavanger may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Stavanger has faced a series of away games on the road.
Recently, Storhamar has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Storhamar for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Stavanger has recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 16 losses, with a goal aggregate of 44:69 (averaging 2.2:3.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Stavanger against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 23:29 goals (averaging 2.6:3.2 per game).