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Current Win Probability
Stjernen 39%
Draw 22.8%
Sparta Warriors 38.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.4%
23.8%
39.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.8%
24%
39.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stjernen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Sparta Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stjernen than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sparta Warriors than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Stjernen - Sparta Warriors Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Huhtamaa J. (G)
32. Pietila B. (G)
77. Tillman J. F.
15. Kovalenko D.
73. Lynch C.
7. Ponomarenko M. (C)
6. Blomqvist C.
47. Johansen S.
89. Stormli H.
25. Lalande F. (A)
9. Heier A. (A)
86. Eliesen N.
Line 2
8. Buskoven E. K.
33. Lilleberg J.
19. Rosdahl L. (A)
6. Gloppen D.
87. Hedman L.
9. Hermansson J.
71. Magnusson W.
41. Ohman V.
67. Kaijser S.
11. Jakobsson K.
Line 3
59. Jessesen N.
18. Fagerudd M.
68. Westberg L.
16. Rydqvist H.
13. Hafsmoe J.
22. Thoresen S.
27. Ryen S. (C)
14. Knold H. (A)
20. Aarseth Opsahl J.
21. Thomas A.
Line 4
43. Gran E.
8. Jacobsen N.
17. Loining M.
26. Faret V.
29. Andersen L.
17. Ahlsen S.
26. Myklebust C.
37. Millen A.
64. Kuisma W.
12. Bjerketvedt A. W.
Substitutes
70. Byrkjeland K. L. (G)
31. Hagen Aarsund S. (G)
Coaches
. Fjeldstad L.
. Holos J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
02:13, 0 - 1, Knold H. (G), Thomas A. (A), Ponomarenko M. (A2)
06:33, Heier A. (2 min),
06:33, Lalande F. (2 min),
2nd Period (0 - 1)
03:16, 0 - 2, Lalande F. (G), Eliesen N. (A), Ponomarenko M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
05:18, Eliesen N. (2 min),
15:49, 1 - 2, Hedman L. (G), Kaijser S. (A),
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ EHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ EHL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stjernen won 2.
Stjernen has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Sparta's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stjernen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 30:79. (average 1.5:4).
Including home matches between the teams, Stjernen won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:33. (average 2.2:3.3).