Match Info

HockeyEttan Norra

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Surahammar		Norrtälje

	1	X	2
	1.76	4.50	3.25
	1.81	4.11	3.22
	1.8	4.32	3.34	Watch
	1.79	4.05	3.15
	1.76	4.30	3.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 (1.78)	4.26 ↓ (4.43)	3.27 ↓ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Surahammar
50.9%

Draw
21.3%

Norrtälje
27.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.7%

20.8%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

21.5%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Surahammar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Norrtälje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Surahammar than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Norrtälje than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Surahammar - Norrtälje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 1)
01:29, 1 - 0, Dahlqvist K. (G), Stark A. (A), Eriksson F. (A2)
05:06, 2 - 0, Eriksson F. (G), Stark A. (A), Hansson M. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
11:13, 2 - 1, Sjolund L. (G), Dahlin C. (A), Dufva M. (A2)
12:52, 3 - 1, Campbell W. (G), Lundgren T. (A), Naslund S. (A2)
17:35, 3 - 2, Sjolund L. (G), Forsstrom T. (A), Hakansson E. (A2)

Preview

In recent outings, Surahammar has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Norrtälje has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Surahammar may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Surahammar has faced a series of away games on the road.

Surahammar is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

Our forecast points to a victory for Surahammar in today's match, at odds of 1.77.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Surahammar has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 8:8 (averaging 4:4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Surahammar against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:7 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
4	Surahammar	9	5	1	1	2	20:16	18
16	Norrtalje	9	1	0	1	7	19:34	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Surahammars IF
Swedish HockeyEttan Norra
16.10.26	Strömsbro - Surahammar	0:4 ✺
11.10.26	Enköping - Surahammar	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Surahammar - Järfälla	2:5 ✺
02.10.26	Väsby - Surahammar	2:1 penalties ✺
27.09.26	Asplöven HC - Surahammar	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWLLW
- Norrtälje IK
Swedish HockeyEttan Norra
11.10.26	Piteå HC - Norrtälje	4:2 ✺
10.10.26	Örnsköldsviks - Norrtälje	4:1 ✺
04.10.26	Norrtälje - Sundsvall Hockey	2:5 ✺
02.10.26	Hudiksvall - Norrtälje	8:0 ✺
27.09.26	Norrtälje - Sollentuna	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish HockeyEttan Norra
21.01.26	Surahammar - Norrtälje	4:7
29.10.25	Norrtälje - Surahammar	1:4

Surahammar - Norrtälje