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Current Win Probability
Sydney Bears 43.2%
Draw 19.1%
Newcastle North Stars 37.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
56.3%
16.3%
27.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.9%
17.3%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney Bears's form might have worsened.
Newcastle North Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle North Stars's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Bears than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney Bears, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle North Stars than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle North Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sydney Bears - Newcastle North Stars Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (3 - 0)
02:52, 1 - 0, Seitz N. (G), Withey F. (A), Chambers B. (A2)
03:01, 2 - 0, Seitz N. (G), Withey F. (A), Chambers B. (A2)
17:54, 3 - 0, Gauthier A. (G), Sadovski K. (A), Chambers B. (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 3)
04:59, 3 - 1, Darge W. (G), Skachkov Y. (A), Haarala S. (A2)
07:16, 4 - 1, Seitz N. (G), Sadovski K. (A), Mozell D. (A2)
10:02, 5 - 1, Seitz N. (G), Withey F. (A), Chambers B. (A2)
12:20, 5 - 2, Ryan L. (G), Skachkov Y. (A), Baazzi A. (A2)
16:44, 5 - 3, Darge W. (G), Haarala S. (A), Drolet F. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 5)
02:05, 5 - 4, Haarala S. (G), Skachkov Y. (A),
06:26, 5 - 5, Klugerman R. (G), Ryan L. (A), Drolet F. (A2)
07:18, 5 - 6, Watanabe A. (G), Haarala S. (A), Baazzi A. (A2)
11:51, 5 - 7, Haarala S. (G), Skachkov Y. (A), Baazzi A. (A2)
15:36, 5 - 8, Drolet F. (G), Klugerman R. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney Bears won 2.
Sydney Bears is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Newcastle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Sydney Bears is a strong favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney Bears won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 85:77. (average 4.3:3.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Sydney Bears won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 38:30. (average 4.2:3.3).
Australia
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