Match Info
AIHLDate: 5 July 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Australia | AIHL TV |
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Sydney Ice Dogs |
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Melbourne Mustangs |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.18 |
4.60 |
2.30 |
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 |
2.26 |
4.65 |
2.2 |
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 |
2.29 |
5.1 |
2.2 |
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2.23 |
5.44 |
2.29 |
 Watch |
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2.25 |
4.6 |
2.17 |
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2.25 |
4.9 |
2.18 |
Watch |
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2.31 |
4.7 |
2.24 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.01) |
4.86 ↓
(5.83) |
2.23 ↓
(2.46) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 9.50
- The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sydney Ice Dogs
40.4% | Draw
18.7% | Melbourne Mustangs
40.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sydney Ice Dogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sydney Ice Dogs's form might have worsened.Melbourne Mustangs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney Ice Dogs than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sydney Ice Dogs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Mustangs than the current prediction. (-6.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Mustangs, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Users Predictions:
1 users predict this event. Sydney Ice Dogs will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:5 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Period (1 - 3)
- 04:29, 1 - 0, Lachowicz R. (G), Chen D. (A), Lee C. (A2)
- 06:50, 1 - 1, Klomp D. (G), Gaeta D. (A), Giorgi M. (A2)
- 09:56, 1 - 2, Lindal B. (G), Sucher L. (A), Ponomarev N. (A2)
- 17:46, 1 - 3, Timmins S. (G), Crane B. (A), Hughes J. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 3)
- 02:34, 1 - 4, Hughes J. (G), Timmins S. (A), Crane B. (A2)
- 05:47, 2 - 4, Vertes N. (G), Chen D. (A), Costa K. (A2)
- 10:34, 2 - 5, Gaeta D. (G), Lindal B. (A), Giorgi M. (A2)
- 18:49, 2 - 6, Hughes J. (G), Timmins S. (A), Crane B. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 01:54, 2 - 7, Sucher L. (G), Ponomarev N. (A), Giorgi M. (A2)
- 13:31, 3 - 7, Dunn K. (G), Lachowicz R. (A), Vertes N. (A2)
- 18:09, 3 - 8, Timmins S. (G),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sydney Ice Dogs won 2.Sydney Ice Dogs has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).In recent matches, Melbourne Mustangs has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Melbourne Mustangs may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sydney Ice Dogs won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 75:99. (average 3.8:5).Including home matches between the teams, Sydney Ice Dogs won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 37:41. (average 3.7:4.1).
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Standings
| | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
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| 3 | Melbourne Mustangs | 29 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 163:108 | 59 |
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| 7 | Sydney Ice Dogs | 28 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 134:125 | 40 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Australian Ice Hockey League | | | 16.05.26 | Melbourne Mustangs - Sydney Ice Dogs | 6:4 | | 10.05.26 | Sydney Ice Dogs - Melbourne Mustangs | 6:3 | | 03.08.24 | Melbourne Mustangs - Sydney Ice Dogs | 6:4 | | 23.06.24 | Sydney Ice Dogs - Melbourne Mustangs | 5:3 | | 16.06.24 | Melbourne Mustangs - Sydney Ice Dogs | 6:3 | | 05.05.24 | Sydney Ice Dogs - Melbourne Mustangs | 5:2 | | 06.08.23 | Melbourne Mustangs - Sydney Ice Dogs | 7:3 |
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