Match Info

NMHL

Date: 27 January 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Tambov		Lipetsk

	1	X	2
	1.73	4.2	3.55
	1.72	4.2	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.72)	4.2 (4.2)	3.58 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tambov
52.8%

Draw
21.7%

Lipetsk
25.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53%

21.7%

25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

21.6%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tambov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Lipetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tambov than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lipetsk than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Tambov - Lipetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
12:48, 1 - 0, Rulikov N. (G),
18:25, 1 - 1, Richard M. (G), Timokhin A. (A), Kovalchuk I. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 1)
10:46, 1 - 2, Kharitonov A. (G), Vereshchagin G. (A), Ptashnikov M. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 1)
07:58, 2 - 2, Roshchin V. (G), Boryasov S. (A),
11:37, 2 - 3, Zubakov D. (G), Timokhin A. (A),
16:36, 3 - 3, Grushin Y. (G),
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (1 - 2)
1, Tikhostup A. (Penalty Shot),
1, Butenko I. (Penalty Shot),
2, Nikiforov D. (Penalty Shot),
2, Vereshchagin G. (Penalty Shot),
3, Matveyev D. (Penalty Shot),
3, Zarechnev I. (Penalty Shot),
4, Matveyev D. (Penalty Shot),
4, Kharitonov A. (Penalty Shot),
5, Roshchin V. (Penalty Shot),
5, Richard M. (Penalty Shot),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 5.

Tambov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lipetsk has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lipetsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.

In this match, Tambov is considered a favorite.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tambov won 17 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 79:36. (average 4.2:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Tambov won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 40:18. (average 4.4:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- MHC Tambov
RHL
26.01.26	Tambov - Lipetsk	2:1 OT ✺
15.01.26	Progress Glazov - Tambov	4:3 ✺
14.01.26	Progress Glazov - Tambov	3:1 ✺
11.01.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Tambov	1:2 OT ✺
10.01.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Tambov	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLLWL
- HC Lipetsk
RHL
26.01.26	Tambov - Lipetsk	2:1 OT ✺
20.01.26	Progress Glazov - Lipetsk	4:3 ✺
19.01.26	Progress Glazov - Lipetsk	4:2 ✺
16.01.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Lipetsk	3:2 OT ✺
15.01.26	Sokol Novocheboksarsk - Lipetsk	3:2 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

RHL
26.01.26	Tambov - Lipetsk	2:1 OT
07.12.25	Lipetsk - Tambov	1:4
06.12.25	Lipetsk - Tambov	2:3 OT
09.03.25	Tambov - Lipetsk	8:2
08.03.25	Tambov - Lipetsk	6:2
27.10.24	Lipetsk - Tambov	3:8
26.10.24	Lipetsk - Tambov	2:9

Tambov - Lipetsk