The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Thurgau 39.1%
Draw 23.3%
Visp 37.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.5%
23.7%
41.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
25.1%
39.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thurgau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
Visp has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thurgau than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Visp than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
Thurgau - Visp Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
81. Neuenschwander E. (G)
30. Markkanen J. (G)
47. Villa A.
38. Heinen O.
11. Marchand L.
48. Meile N.
16. Haas K.
78. Patry S.
90. Ljunggren D.
67. Nilsson J.
14. Okabe Z.
85. Forrer S.
Line 2
19. Murer F.
33. Forrer M.
3. Hinder L.
64. Eigenmann D. (C)
15. Diethelm M.
4. Hazen J.
46. Rundkvist A.
24. Lehmann N.
88. Binias D.
10. Bruschweiler Y.
Line 3
78. Lindemann K.
45. Gahler J.
18. Kuhni K.
14. Gerber C.
38. Munger K. L.
18. Lurati A.
22. Truog L. C.
70. Romanenghi M.
13. Derungs I.
8. Marchon J.
Line 4
59. Deussen L.
71. Wuest S.
7. Embacher J.
11. Ryser V.
24. Hobi D. (C)
12. Ritz A.
79. Etter K.
55. Burgener D.
Substitutes
12. Kauth T.
60. Birchler M. N. (G)
31. Simmchen S. (G)
15. Perrenoud P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (0 - 0)
3rd Period (0 - 0)
Overtime (0 - 1)
00:29, 0 - 1, Hazen J. (G), Eigenmann D. (A), Lehmann N. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thurgau won 3.
Thurgau has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Visp is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Thurgau could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Visp has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Thurgau has recorded 10 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 41:43 (averaging 2.1:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Thurgau against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 26:26 goals (averaging 2.4:2.4 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
3
Visp
6
3
1
2
0
25:9
13
7
Thurgau
6
1
1
1
3
13:22
6
Last Results with these Odds
Visp - the odds 2.18 are the expected chance of winning is 41.72%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.