Match Info

Alps Hockey League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Messestadion Dornbirn (Dornbirn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Valcome TV


	Tigers Bregenzerwald		Merano Junior

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.8	2.17	Watch
	2.56	4	2.15
	2.63	4.17	2.14	Watch
	2.5	4	2.1
	2.58	4.05	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↓ (3.02)	4 ↓ (4.16)	2.14 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tigers Bregenzerwald
35.3%

Draw
22.6%

Merano Junior
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

22.1%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

23.1%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tigers Bregenzerwald has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Merano Junior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merano Junior might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigers Bregenzerwald than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merano Junior than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Tigers Bregenzerwald - Merano Junior Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4

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Lineups

Line 1
69. Widhalm L. (G)	1. Bernard A. (G)
42. Kauppila A.	53. Larcher E.
6. Hintermann D.	7. Sherbinin B.
14. Zwerger J.	73. Nousiainen R.
64. Rantanen J.	14. Stefanson R.
12. Laaksonen T.	11. Cruseman F.
Line 2
40. Posch B.	23. Frick N.
22. Flick J.	27. Rein N.
15. Ranftl F.	26. Fuchs J.
13. Poschmann P.	9. Tomasini P.
44. Lipsbergs R.	13. Gellon D.
Line 3
98. Liesch L.	5. Golser A.
86. Konig D.	19. Beber P.
20. Bergstrom T.	15. Mandruzzato G.
71. Kramer N.	20. Claesson S.
19. Tschofen M.	75. Trivellato D.
Line 4
90. Wohlmuth M.	64. Carissimi E.
65. Wempe L.	87. Egger A.
88. Grasser B.	21. Marinovich M.
7. Haibock M.
91. Metzler-Wagner T.
Substitutes
30. Reichhalter C. (G)	32. Gamper C. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (0 - 1)
18:35, 0 - 1, Larcher E. (G), Nousiainen R. (A),
2nd Period (2 - 0)
02:30, 1 - 1, Kramer N. (G), Kauppila A. (A), Zwerger J. (A2)
10:12, 2 - 1, Posch B. (G), Flick J. (A),
3rd Period (0 - 5)
02:45, 2 - 2, Rein N. (G), Claesson S. (A),
02:56, 2 - 3, Fuchs J. (G), Tomasini P. (A), Frick N. (A2)
07:53, 2 - 4, Gellon D. (G), Tomasini P. (A), Golser A. (A2)
12:23, 2 - 5, Cruseman F. (G), Nousiainen R. (A), Stefanson R. (A2)
16:41, 2 - 6, Rein N. (G), Claesson S. (A), Tomasini P. (A2)

Preview

Merano leads series 1-0. Second leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EHC Bregenzerwald won 3.

EHC Bregenzerwald has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Merano is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

EHC Bregenzerwald may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, EHC Bregenzerwald won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 56:46. (average 3.3:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, EHC Bregenzerwald won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 30:24. (average 3.8:3).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	D	LO	L		Pts
4	Merano	6	4	1	0	0	1	17:13	14

Last Results with these Odds

Tigers Bregenzerwald - the odds 3.02 are the expected chance of winning is 30.46%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Tigers Bregenzerwald
Alps Hockey League
03.03.26	Merano Junior - Tigers Bregenzerwald	4:2 ✺
25.02.26	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Acroni Jesenice	5:3 ✺
21.02.26	Ritten-Renon - Tigers Bregenzerwald	5:6 OT ✺
19.02.26	Gherdëina - Tigers Bregenzerwald	5:2 ✺
17.02.26	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Gherdëina	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWLL
- Merano Junior
Alps Hockey League
03.03.26	Merano Junior - Tigers Bregenzerwald	4:2 ✺
26.02.26	Unterland Cavaliers - Merano Junior	3:6 ✺
21.02.26	Merano Junior - Unterland Cavaliers	4:2 ✺
19.02.26	Merano Junior - Kitzbühel	4:1 ✺
17.02.26	Cortina - Merano Junior	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Alps Hockey League
03.03.26	Merano Junior - Tigers Bregenzerwald	4:2
30.12.25	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Merano Junior	6:4
28.11.25	Merano Junior - Tigers Bregenzerwald	3:5
04.10.25	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Merano Junior	5:2
19.12.24	Merano Junior - Tigers Bregenzerwald	4:1
28.11.24	Merano Junior - Tigers Bregenzerwald	1:3
03.11.24	Tigers Bregenzerwald - Merano Junior	4:2

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