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Current Win Probability
Trnava 43.7%
Draw 21.7%
Topoľčany 34.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
44%
21.9%
34%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
22.8%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trnava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Topoľčany has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trnava than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Topoľčany than the current prediction. (-3.2%)
Trnava - Topoľčany Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:3
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Holly J. (G)
31. Mirt D. (G)
15. Dosek S.
81. Babrusev I.
18. Scheuer M.
71. Ejem M.
13. Jurak R.
24. Danielcak T.
25. Holovic M.
19. Bodnar M.
12. Stupka V.
21. Barcik A.
Line 2
23. Sabo M.
6. Kubos P.
34. Volkov V.
66. Bystrican M.
88. Kupka A.
39. Piacka E.
17. Surovy M.
28. Hurtaj T.
24. Hudec D.
27. Ruzek J.
Line 3
90. Dedik T.
22. Benko M.
91. Haborak M.
7. Strban J.
8. Sulovsky M.
96. Habermann J.
21. Mamonov M.
26. Becka P.
19. Kluka M.
88. Ozvald A.
Line 4
97. Klapica A.
89. Hrenak M.
66. Achberger R.
77. Hruska M.
42. Michajlov M.
8. Matej A.
29. Geci A.
41. Palenik S.
Substitutes
9. Kusnier O.
32. Irsak J. (G)
22. Posinger B.
29. Veres M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
09:45, 1 - 0, Achberger R. (G), Scheuer M. (A), Michajlov M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 0)
19:39, 2 - 0, Stupka V. (G), Kupka A. (A), Scheuer M. (A2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trnava won 0.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Trnava could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Trnava has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 54:92 (averaging 2.7:4.6 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Trnava against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with 28:45 goals (averaging 2.8:4.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
9
Topolcany
15
6
0
3
6
51:48
21
10
Trnava
14
5
2
0
7
37:40
19
Last Results with these Odds
Topoľčany - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 34.04%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.