The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Troja Ljungby 27.2%
Draw 21.7%
Karlskrona 51%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.7%
20.3%
48%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.7%
21.5%
44.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troja Ljungby has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
Karlskrona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troja Ljungby than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Troja Ljungby, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlskrona than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Karlskrona, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Troja Ljungby - Karlskrona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:4
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Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
10:09, 0 - 1, Abrahamsson J. (G), Olofsson R. (A), Wendt H. (A2)
10:52, 1 - 1, Rupi N. (G), Kakela L. (A), Ek Koskela H. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 4)
04:19, 1 - 2, Varmhed D. (G), Olofsson V. (A), Hassel O. (A2)
05:37, 2 - 2, Lindberg G. (G), Fransson M. (A), Rupi N. (A2)
08:25, 2 - 3, Abrahamsson J. (G), Tornkvist C. (A), Hassel O. (A2)
10:07, 2 - 4, Ratkovic Berndtsson J. (G),
14:33, 2 - 5, Olofsson R. (G), Ekefjard E. (A), Sjogren M. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 3)
01:27, 2 - 6, Tornkvist C. (G), Crus-Rydberg V. (A), Sjogren M. (A2)
05:44, 2 - 7, von Dahn M. (G), Tornkvist C. (A),
09:47, 2 - 8, Abrahamsson J. (G), Fredin L. (A),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troja Ljungby won 4.
Troja Ljungby is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Karlskrona is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Troja Ljungby could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Karlskrona holding a narrow advantage.
Our forecast points to a victory for Karlskrona in today's match, at odds of 1.79.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Troja Ljungby has recorded 15 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 75:46 (averaging 3.8:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Troja Ljungby against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 44:19 goals (averaging 4:1.7 per game).
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