The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
UKH Unia Oświęcim 63.2%
Draw 18.8%
GKS Jastrzębie 18%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
66.5%
17.9%
15.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.2%
19.1%
16.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
UKH Unia Oświęcim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
GKS Jastrzębie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for UKH Unia Oświęcim than the current prediction. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for GKS Jastrzębie than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
UKH Unia Oświęcim - GKS Jastrzębie Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
31. Tyczynski I. (G)
30. Holsa P. (G)
66. Valtola K.
3. Hanzel P.
12. Bizacki O.
11. Alho A.
43. Nieminen O.
80. Saarelainen M.
29. Marenis R. (C)
28. Stella J.
91. Wilkins M.
21. Savolainen J.
Line 2
77. Ventela S.
76. Bagin E.
93. Makela A.
4. Bezuska P.
88. Jokinen J.
82. Kasperlik M.
13. Ronkkonen J.
26. Stolarski B.
25. Ahopelto E.
92. Urbanowicz M.
Line 3
5. Florczak B.
9. Charvat M.
4. Matthews L.
13. Onak J.
34. Immonen S.
44. Laszkiewicz O.
15. Tyczynski D.
71. Mos K.
26. Lewandowski J.
91. Zajac W.
Line 4
79. Kusak M.
24. Bieniek S.
40. Moscicki M.
56. Adamek J.
16. Soltys J.
22. Nalewajka R.
44. Krzemien L.
18. Kolat D.
95. Nahunko D.
87. Osiadly M.
Substitutes
70. Kusak J. (G)
31. Michalski K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 1)
07:23, 1 - 0, Wilkins M. (G), Ronkkonen J. (A), Lewandowski J. (A2)
18:06, 1 - 1, Kasperlik M. (G),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
04:08, 1 - 2, Urbanowicz M. (G), Stolarski B. (A), Kasperlik M. (A2)
09:23, 1 - 3, Urbanowicz M. (G), Kasperlik M. (A), Stolarski B. (A2)
11:30, 2 - 3, Tyczynski D. (G), Soltys J. (A), Matthews L. (A2)
16:40, 3 - 3, Marenis R. (G), Jokinen J. (A), Nieminen O. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 1)
07:10, 3 - 4, Hanzel P. (G),
09:10, 4 - 4, Valtola K. (G), Ronkkonen J. (A), Ahopelto E. (A2)
Overtime (0 - 0)
Penalties (0 - 2)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unia won 3.
Unia is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
GKS Jastrzębie has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
GKS Jastrzębie could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Unia carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Unia in today's match, at odds of 1.44.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Unia has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 60:60 (averaging 3:3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Unia against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 27:28 goals (averaging 2.7:2.8 per game).