Match Info

Suomi-sarja

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday


	Virkiä		LeKi

	1	X	2
	2.4	5.5	1.95
	2.35	5.5	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.25)	5.5 (5.5)	1.95 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 11.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Virkiä
37.7%

Draw
16.3%

LeKi
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

15.8%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

17.6%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Virkiä has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

LeKi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Virkiä than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Virkiä, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for LeKi than the current prediction. (-5%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
03:38, 0 - 1, Keltikangas M. (G), Kaihua T. (A), Sinisalo V. (A2)
17:07, 1 - 1, Sarkaranta A. (G), Siren S. (A), Kettunen S. (A2)
2nd Period (0 - 3)
02:53, 1 - 2, Sinisalo V. (G), Kaihua T. (A), Lampo T. (A2)
05:34, 1 - 3, Laurila M. (G), Tiala A. (A), Holli M. (A2)
18:05, 1 - 4, Sinisalo V. (G), Kaihua T. (A), Keltikangas M. (A2)
3rd Period (1 - 5)
04:08, 1 - 5, Holli M. (G), Tiala A. (A), Papinsaari J. (A2)
05:44, 1 - 6, Rouhiainen J. (G), Sivu E. (A), Tiala A. (A2)
09:38, 1 - 7, Rouhiainen J. (G), Salonen E. (A),
13:16, 2 - 7, Salo A. (G),
16:20, 2 - 8, Sinisalo V. (G), Vakiparta R. (A), Kaihua T. (A2)
18:07, 2 - 9, Mattila V. (G), Lattu N. (A), Lappalainen J. (A2)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Virkiä won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

LeKi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Virkiä won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 45:44. (average 4.1:4).

Including home matches between the teams, Virkiä won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 24:16. (average 4.8:3.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	LeKi	8	4	2	1	1	31:17	17
11	Virkia	7	1	1	2	3	13:22	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Virkiä Hockey
Finnish Suomi-sarja
18.01.26	Virkiä - Haukat Järvenpää	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Raahe-Kiekko - Virkiä	5:2 ✺
10.01.26	Virkiä - Raahe-Kiekko	5:2 ✺
09.01.26	Laser HT - Virkiä	5:1 ✺
04.01.26	Virkiä - JHT Kalajoki	7:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW
- LeKi Hockey
Finnish Suomi-sarja
17.01.26	LeKi - PEPO Lappeenranta	10:2 ✺
10.01.26	LeKi - Kotkan Titaanit	5:2 ✺
09.01.26	Haukat Järvenpää - LeKi	4:3 OT ✺
03.01.26	Kotkan Titaanit - LeKi	6:11 ✺
12.12.25	Forssan Palloseura - LeKi	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Suomi-sarja
17.10.25	LeKi - Virkiä	5:6 OT
05.03.25	Virkiä - LeKi	5:4
03.03.25	LeKi - Virkiä	2:0
01.03.25	Virkiä - LeKi	8:5
28.02.25	LeKi - Virkiä	6:1
26.02.25	Virkiä - LeKi	4:3 OT
02.11.24	Virkiä - LeKi	5:1

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