The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vítkovice Steel 41.2%
Draw 22.5%
Kometa Brno 36.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
34.4%
22.9%
42.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
23.1%
42.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vítkovice Steel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vítkovice Steel's performance.
Kometa Brno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kometa Brno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vítkovice Steel than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vítkovice Steel that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kometa Brno than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kometa Brno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Vítkovice Steel - Kometa Brno Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
49. Hrachovina D. (G)
30. Stezka A. (G)
93. Holland R.
28. Zabransky L. (A)
38. Zboril J. (C)
82. Kral F.
21. Yetman C.
11. Hartl M.
19. Nellis A.
75. Ilomaki A.
24. Abdul J.
20. Zohorna H.
Line 2
8. Demel P.
53. Witkowski L.
79. Pavelka T.
21. Kucerik R.
14. Stransky S.
9. Flek J. (C)
27. Hrivik M. (A)
62. Leino R.
81. Cienciala D.
22. Pospisil K. (A)
Line 3
26. Port V.
4. Irving A.
12. Knazko S.
24. Gulasi M.
47. Lacka J.
5. Vondracek T.
67. Hladonik J.
80. Zohorna T.
11. Kalus M. (A)
91. Kusko S.
Line 4
5. Bruna P.
77. Nedomlel R.
28. Bernovsky J.
72. Kollar A.
89. Sir J.
6. Cingel L.
34. Macias K.
71. Kunc M.
Substitutes
82. Petr D.
33. Rabcan E. (G)
31. Svancara P. (G)
Coaches
. Treille Y.
. Zabransky L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (1 - 2)
00:28, 1 - 0, Cienciala D. (G), Hrivik M. (A),
06:07, Lacka J. (2 min),
08:35, 1 - 1, Witkowski L. (G), Zohorna T. (A),
19:13, 1 - 2, Kollar A. (G),
2nd Period (1 - 0)
06:54, Pospisil K. (2 min),
06:54, Zboril J. (2 min),
19:08, 2 - 2, Pavelka T. (G), Hrivik M. (A),
3rd Period (1 - 0)
02:32, 3 - 2, Cienciala D. (G), Stransky S. (A),
13:52, Vondracek T. (2 min),
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 13th and 9th in the Promotion - Extraliga Playoffs - 1/8 - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vítkovice won 1.
Recent results have been tough for Vítkovice (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Kometa Brno have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Kometa Brno could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
Doubtful / questionable for Vítkovice: Leahy J.
(Injury).
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Vítkovice has recorded 11 wins, 0 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 55:57 (averaging 2.8:2.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vítkovice against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 28:20 goals (averaging 2.8:2 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
8
Kometa Brno
15
4
3
3
5
40:41
21
13
Vitkovice
14
3
1
2
8
34:47
13
Outrights of Czech Extraliga for now
Kometa Brno: 6.22% Vitkovice: 1.14%
Last Results with these Odds
Vítkovice Steel - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 34.37%, but this team recently wins 53% of matches with these odds.
Kometa Brno - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 42.75%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Czech Republic
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Hrachovina D. (G) 
Holland R. 
Ilomaki A. 
Witkowski L. 
Hrivik M. (A) 
Macias K. 
Treille Y. 
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