The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
ZSC Lions 52%
Draw 21%
Fribourg-Gottéron 27%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.7%
21.3%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.5%
22.7%
29.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
ZSC Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
Fribourg-Gottéron has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZSC Lions than the current prediction. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fribourg-Gottéron than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
ZSC Lions - Fribourg Gottéron Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2
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Lineups
Line 1
30. Hrubec S. (G)
35. Waeber L. (G)
6. Weber Y. (A)
12. Nemeth P.
56. Berni T.
33. Johnson L.
10. Andrighetto S.
22. Bertschy C. (C)
62. Malgin D. (A)
95. De La Rose J. (A)
36. Knak S.
15. Zosso T.
Line 2
46. Kukan D.
5. Seiler S.
54. Marti Ch.
77. Streule M.
28. Froden J.
45. Boppart Y.
27. Grant D.
73. Schmid S. (A)
38. Balcers R.
11. Hedlund L.
Line 3
44. Lehtonen M.
27. Rathgeb Y.
4. Geering P. (C)
3. Kapla M.
8. Riedi W.
39. Reber J.
83. Lammikko J.
21. Borgstrom H.
18. Baechler N.
29. Richard A.
Line 4
33. Schwendeler J.
7. Jecker B.
79. Bader T.
34. Etter F.
13. Sigrist J.
40. Taibel J.
73. Gruber K.
97. Marchon N.
Substitutes
14. Baltisberger Ch.
1. Galley L. (G)
40. Zumbuhl R. (G)
Coaches
. Julien C.
. Ronnberg R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (2 - 1)
02:31, 0 - 1, Marchon N. (G), Taibel J. (A),
03:32, 1 - 1, Froden J. (G), Berni T. (A), Balcers R. (A2)
10:40, Kapla M. (2 min),
13:27, 2 - 1, Bader T. (G),
20:00, Weber Y. (2 min),
2nd Period (2 - 2)
01:55, 2 - 2, Richard A. (G), Kapla M. (A), Borgstrom H. (A2)
03:36, 3 - 2, Froden J. (G), Kukan D. (A),
08:51, Seiler S. (2 min),
09:36, 3 - 3, Bertschy C. (G), Taibel J. (A), Waeber L. (A2)
10:35, 4 - 3, Baltisberger Ch. (G), Lehtonen M. (A), Lammikko J. (A2)
11:49, Riedi W. (2 min),
14:41, Malgin D. (2 min),
3rd Period (0 - 1)
08:03, Balcers R. (2 min),
09:36, Borgstrom H. (2 min),
19:18, 4 - 4, Hedlund L. (G), Rathgeb Y. (A), Borgstrom H. (A2)
Overtime (1 - 0)
04:28, 5 - 4, Lammikko J. (G),
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 1st in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 4th in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, ZSC Lions won 0.
ZSC Lions arrives with excellent momentum after picking up several victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Fribourg-Gottéron shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Fribourg-Gottéron could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Fribourg-Gottéron has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
ZSC Lions is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, ZSC Lions has recorded 9 wins, 0 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:39 (averaging 2:2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for ZSC Lions against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with 24:19 goals (averaging 2.4:1.9 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Zurich
10
7
3
0
0
42:24
27
4
Fribourg
11
4
2
2
3
38:29
18
Last Results with these Odds
ZSC Lions - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50.69%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.
Fribourg-Gottéron - the odds 3.33 are the expected chance of winning is 28.01%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.