The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lugano 32.7%
Draw 21.7%
ZSC Lions 45.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.4%
21.9%
42.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
22.6%
41.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ZSC Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for ZSC Lions than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Lugano - ZSC Lions Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3
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Lineups
Line 1
34. Schlegel N. (G)
40. Zumbuhl R. (G)
26. Aebischer D.
6. Weber Y.
63. Dahlstrom C.
56. Berni T.
10. Bertaggia A.
10. Andrighetto S. (A)
97. Thurkauf C. (C)
62. Malgin D.
12. Innala J.
36. Knak S.
Line 2
22. Alatalo S. (A)
46. Kukan D.
52. Peltonen J.
54. Marti Ch.
17. Fazzini L. (A)
28. Froden J.
21. Sanford Z.
27. Grant D.
11. Zanetti M.
38. Balcers R.
Line 3
60. Thomson L.
44. Lehtonen M. (A)
25. Muller M.
4. Geering P. (C)
19. Kupari R.
88. Stromwall M.
73. Shore N.
83. Lammikko J.
7. Tanner R.
18. Baechler N.
Line 4
65. Cjunskis H.
33. Schwendeler J.
91. Olsson D.
8. Riedi W.
23. Morini G.
13. Sigrist J.
13. Peltonen A.
79. Bader T.
Substitutes
29. Beglieri A. (G)
73. Gruber K.
27. Henry C.
69. Gruter L. (G)
Coaches
. Mitell T.
. Julien C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 1)
04:08, Froden J. (2 min),
07:07, 0 - 1, Berni T. (G), Andrighetto S. (A), Knak S. (A2)
2nd Period (1 - 0)
07:31, Riedi W. (2 min),
08:24, 1 - 1, Thurkauf C. (G), Alatalo S. (A), Innala J. (A2)
10:26, Grant D. (2 min),
17:40, Bertaggia A. (2 min),
3rd Period (1 - 1)
04:19, Sanford Z. (2 min),
05:11, 2 - 1, Tanner R. (G), Shore N. (A),
09:06, Kukan D. (2 min),
09:06, Shore N. (2 min),
10:11, Dahlstrom C. (2 min),
11:55, Froden J. (2 min),
11:55, Aebischer D. (2 min),
18:13, 2 - 2, Lehtonen M. (G), Andrighetto S. (A),
Overtime (0 - 1)
01:35, 2 - 3, Kukan D. (G),
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th in the Promotion - National League Promotion - Playoffs and 1st in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lugano won 1.
Lugano has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
ZSC Lions is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
ZSC Lions could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with ZSC Lions holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lugano has recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 40:62 (averaging 2:3.1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lugano against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 26:28 goals (averaging 2.4:2.5 per game).
Outrights of Swiss National League Hockey for now
Zurich: 23.46% Lugano: 5.5%
Standings
Pl
W
WO
LO
L
Pts
1
Zurich
9
7
2
0
0
37:20
25
9
Lugano
9
3
1
1
4
33:31
12
Last Results with these Odds
Lugano - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.41%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
ZSC Lions - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.69%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.