The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fribourg-Gottéron 64.6%
Draw 17.8%
Ajoie 17.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.4%
18.7%
17%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.3%
19.6%
17.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fribourg-Gottéron has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
Ajoie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fribourg-Gottéron than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ajoie than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
Fribourg Gottéron - Ajoie Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 4:1
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Lineups
Line 1
35. Waeber L. (G)
29. Patenaude N. (G)
12. Nemeth P.
3. Honka A. (C)
7. Jecker B.
58. Zgraggen J.
22. Bertschy C. (A)
32. Turkulainen J.
95. De La Rose J. (A)
27. Tanus K.
40. Taibel J.
74. Nattinen J.
Line 2
5. Seiler S.
60. Honka J.
77. Streule M.
26. Fey K.
9. Sorensen M.
7. Carr D.
73. Schmid S. (A)
17. Smirnovs D.
11. Hedlund L.
44. Christen L.
Line 3
27. Rathgeb Y.
15. Christe G.
43. Grangier M.
2. Pilet V.
39. Reber J.
78. Sopa K.
21. Borgstrom H.
8. Devos P. (A)
29. Richard A.
20. Cormier C.
Line 4
42. Siffert L.
91. Berthoud Y.
34. Etter F.
19. Wick J. (A)
23. Walser S.
73. Cavalleri C.
97. Marchon N.
25. Tarchini N.
Substitutes
45. Boppart Y.
30. Keller A. (G)
1. Galley L. (G)
Coaches
. Ronnberg R.
. Peltonen V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Period (0 - 0)
01:02, Hedlund L. (2 min),
01:02, Fey K. (2 min),
03:28, Streule M. (2 min),
10:16, Schmid S. (2 min),
2nd Period (5 - 2)
00:38, Nattinen J. (2 min),
01:23, 1 - 0, Bertschy C. (G), Rathgeb Y. (A), Sorensen M. (A2)
04:46, Turkulainen J. (2 min),
05:47, 2 - 0, Richard A. (G), Taibel J. (A),
06:14, 3 - 0, Borgstrom H. (G), Richard A. (A), Reber J. (A2)
06:14, Patenaude N. ↓, Keller A. ↑,
07:59, 4 - 0, Sorensen M. (G),
08:56, 4 - 1, Fey K. (G), Devos P. (A),
09:18, Walser S. (2 min),
14:58, 5 - 1, Hedlund L. (G), Schmid S. (A),
17:13, Streule M. (2 min),
17:13, Christen L. (2 min),
18:18, 5 - 2, Nattinen J. (G), Sopa K. (A), Pilet V. (A2)
3rd Period (2 - 0)
00:28, Zgraggen J. (2 min),
14:50, Turkulainen J. (2 min),
15:49, 6 - 2, Borgstrom H. (G), Richard A. (A), Taibel J. (A2)
17:54, 7 - 2, Bertschy C. (G), Streule M. (A), Nemeth P. (A2)
Preview
Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 6th in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 5th in the Promotion - National League Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fribourg-Gottéron won 5.
Fribourg-Gottéron has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Ajoie has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Ajoie could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Fribourg-Gottéron has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.
Fribourg-Gottéron carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Fribourg-Gottéron has recorded 17 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 78:34 (averaging 3.9:1.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Fribourg-Gottéron against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 48:19 goals (averaging 4.8:1.9 per game).