Match Info

Polish Hockey League - Round 6

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday


	Zagłębie Sosnowiec		UKH Unia Oświęcim

	1	X	2
	1.70	4.40	3.40
	1.77	4	3.3
	1.78	4.43	3.52
	1.72	4.5	3.52	Watch
	1.74	4.3	3.45
	1.69	4.3	3.65
	1.7	4.2	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.02)	4.3 ↑ (4.25)	3.47 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zagłębie Sosnowiec
52.6%

Draw
21.1%

UKH Unia Oświęcim
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

22.1%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

25.4%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zagłębie Sosnowiec has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Zagłębie Sosnowiec's performance.

UKH Unia Oświęcim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and UKH Unia Oświęcim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zagłębie Sosnowiec than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UKH Unia Oświęcim than the current prediction. (+1%)

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - UKH Unia Oświęcim Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:2

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Lineups

Line 1
33. Kaarlehto K. (G)	31. Tyczynski I. (G)
7. Olkkonen J.	66. Valtola K.
59. Sozanski M.	12. Bizacki O.
88. Savilahti E.	43. Nieminen O.
57. Heikkinen V.	13. Ronkkonen J.
87. Peresunko A.	91. Wilkins M.
Line 2
77. Narog M.	77. Ventela S.
6. Ciura B.	40. Moscicki M.
18. Roine M.	88. Jokinen J.
55. Gromadzki A.	34. Immonen S.
8. Chmielewski A.	25. Ahopelto E.
Line 3
51. Wanacki J.	9. Dyukov R.
9. Bilas K.	4. Matthews L.
94. Sirkia V.	95. Nahunko D.
27. Zachariasz O.	15. Tyczynski D.
13. Brynkus S.	26. Lewandowski J.
Line 4
71. Kotlorz M.	6. Staniecko M.
10. Ciepielewski P.	53. Platacz P.
98. Bernacki M.	16. Soltys J.
97. Dawid M.	44. Krzemien L.
96. Musiol J.	79. Kusak M.
Substitutes
21. Miarka M. (G)	70. Kusak J. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (2 - 0)
05:42, 1 - 0, Heikkinen V. (G),
12:44, 2 - 0, Gromadzki A. (G), Sozanski M. (A), Chmielewski A. (A2)
2nd Period (3 - 0)
04:17, 3 - 0, Roine M. (G), Savilahti E. (A), Chmielewski A. (A2)
11:01, 4 - 0, Brynkus S. (G), Chmielewski A. (A), Narog M. (A2)
18:24, 5 - 0, Zachariasz O. (G), Roine M. (A), Savilahti E. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
03:12, 5 - 1, Nieminen O. (G), Valtola K. (A), Tyczynski D. (A2)
17:21, 5 - 2, Valtola K. (G), Ahopelto E. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zagłębie won 3.

Currently, both sides are showing commendable stability on the pitch.

Unia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Zagłębie is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Zagłębie has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 14 losses, with a goal aggregate of 50:75 (averaging 2.5:3.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Zagłębie against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with 32:37 goals (averaging 2.9:3.4 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	8	7	0	0	1	39:15	21
6	Unia Oswiecim	7	3	1	1	2	32:24	12

Last Results with these Odds

Zagłębie Sosnowiec - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.54%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

UKH Unia Oświęcim - the odds 3 are the expected chance of winning is 31.34%, but this team recently wins 7% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HC Zagłębie Sosnowiec
Polska Liga Hokejowa
29.09.26	KH Sanok - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:5 ✺
27.09.26	MMKS Podhale - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:9 ✺
25.09.26	GKS Katowice - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	1:5 ✺
20.09.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - GKS Tychy	1:4 ✺
15.09.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - ComArch Cracovia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWLW
- UKH Unia Oświęcim
Polska Liga Hokejowa
27.09.26	UKH Unia Oświęcim - GKS Katowice	5:4 OT ✺
25.09.26	GKS Tychy - UKH Unia Oświęcim	3:5 ✺
18.09.26	UKH Unia Oświęcim - ComArch Cracovia	7:2 ✺
15.09.26	Polonia Bytom - UKH Unia Oświęcim	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly Ice Hockey
09.09.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - UKH Unia Oświęcim	3:4 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Ice Hockey
09.09.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - UKH Unia Oświęcim	3:4 OT
Polska Liga Hokejowa
02.04.26	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - UKH Unia Oświęcim	4:3 OT
31.03.26	UKH Unia Oświęcim - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:3
25.01.26	UKH Unia Oświęcim - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	4:3 penalties
17.12.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - UKH Unia Oświęcim	2:1 OT
14.11.25	UKH Unia Oświęcim - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	4:1
10.10.25	Zagłębie Sosnowiec - UKH Unia Oświęcim	5:1

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