Match Info

HockeyAllsvenskan

Date: 16 January 2026, Friday

Location: Ostersund Arena (Ostersund)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen


	Östersund		Södertälje

	1	X	2
	2.65	4	2.3
	2.52	4.1	2.4	Watch
	2.59	4	2.31	Watch
	2.31	3.84	2.47	Watch
	2.6	4	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.65)	3.99 ↑ (3.96)	2.37 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Östersund
36.9%

Draw
23.5%

Södertälje
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

23.5%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

23.4%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Östersund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Södertälje has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Östersund than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Södertälje than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Östersund - Södertälje Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Östersund (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Östersund (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:3

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Lineups

Line 1
1. Lido C. (G)	73. Harenstam L. (G)
51. Anderberg A.	82. Laavainen R.
27. Sundqvist L.	27. Norbe D.
28. Solem S. (A)	45. Dyk S.
63. Ohrn D.	95. Vayrynen T.
25. Semjonovs M.	12. Liljegren V.
Line 2
50. Wahlberg O.	5. Ahnelov J.
52. Jansson F.	44. Arell N.
23. Sjoberg A.	28. Hesselvall A.
59. Klint A.	16. Engaras F.
10. Kandergard O.	17. Ashton C.
Line 3
7. Olkkonen J. (C)	21. Windlert F.
57. Johansson K. (A)	15. Carlson A.
55. Videll L.	23. Eriksson W.
20. Holmner-Hargestam C.	19. Harlestam H. (A)
24. Sagranden L.	88. Holst-Persson F.
Line 4
43. Edfeldt N.	48. Hallquisth W.
65. Carnebo A.	13. Eriksson H. (A)
22. Varmhed D.	9. Zackrisson P. (C)
19. Garfve I.	8. Wia W.
34. Hesselvall F.
Substitutes
35. Rosengren D. (G)	53. Westerholm N. (G)
30. Yttergard P. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Period (1 - 1)
11:16, 0 - 1, Harlestam H. (G), Holst-Persson F. (A), Norbe D. (A2)
12:09, 1 - 1, Holmner-Hargestam C. (G), Sjoberg A. (A),
2nd Period (1 - 2)
00:32, 2 - 1, Sundqvist L. (G), Ohrn D. (A), Solem S. (A2)
14:54, 2 - 2, Ashton C. (G), Hesselvall A. (A), Engaras F. (A2)
16:49, 2 - 3, Holst-Persson F. (G), Harlestam H. (A), Eriksson W. (A2)
3rd Period (0 - 2)
04:40, 2 - 4, Engaras F. (G),
17:27, 2 - 5, Wia W. (G), Zackrisson P. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ HockeyAllsvenskan (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Östersund won 0.

Östersund has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Södertälje has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

We predict that Östersund will win today's game, with odds of 2.63.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Östersund won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 12:51. (average 0.9:3.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Östersund won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 11:28. (average 1.6:4).

Outrights of Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan for now

Sodertalje: 14.89% Ostersund: 0.57%

Standings

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
5	Sodertalje	9	4	1	1	3	30:23	15
9	Ostersund	9	1	3	2	3	23:27	11

Last Results with these Odds

Östersund - the odds 2.65 are the expected chance of winning is 35.11%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Södertälje - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 41.36%, but this team recently wins 31% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Östersunds IK
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
14.01.26	Östersund - Vimmerby	4:1 ✺
09.01.26	Kalmar - Östersund	4:1 ✺
07.01.26	Östersund - AIK	2:6 ✺
03.01.26	Troja Ljungby - Östersund	2:3 OT ✺
02.01.26	Almtuna IS - Östersund	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLWW
- Södertälje SK
Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
14.01.26	Södertälje - Mora	2:3 OT ✺
09.01.26	Almtuna IS - Södertälje	4:7 ✺
07.01.26	Södertälje - Björklöven	3:4 penalties ✺
05.01.26	Västerås - Södertälje	2:1 ✺
02.01.26	BIK Karlskoga - Södertälje	2:1 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Hockey Allsvenskan
10.12.25	Södertälje - Östersund	3:0
08.10.25	Östersund - Södertälje	0:4
19.02.25	Östersund - Södertälje	4:8
18.12.24	Östersund - Södertälje	2:3
13.11.24	Södertälje - Östersund	4:1
18.10.24	Södertälje - Östersund	5:0
08.03.24	Östersund - Södertälje	1:2

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