Match Info

Ykköspesis

Date: 26 July 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Finland	16:00	Ruutu+


	Puna-Mustat		Simon Kiri

	1	X	2
	1.59	3.1	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.71)	3.1 ↑ (2.99)	6.8 ↑ (5.6)

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Puna-Mustat
57.2%

Draw
29.4%

Simon Kiri
13.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.3%

30.5%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

30.6%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Puna-Mustat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Simon Kiri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puna-Mustat than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simon Kiri than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

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Puna-Mustat is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Simon Kiri has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Puna-Mustat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Puna-Mustat has had a series of away games.

In this match, Puna-Mustat is seen as the favorite.

We predict that Puna-Mustat will win today's game, with odds of 1.71.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Puna-Mustat
Finnish Ykköspesis
23.07.25	Puijon Pesis - Puna-Mustat	1:1 penalties ✺
22.07.25	Siilinjärven Pesis - Puna-Mustat	1:1 penalties ✺
17.07.25	Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2 - Puna-Mustat	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Puna-Mustat - Ylivieskan Kuula	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Jyväskylän Lohi - Puna-Mustat	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWLWW
- Simon Kiri
Finnish Ykköspesis
25.07.25	Kouvolan Pallonlyöjät 2 - Simon Kiri	2:0 ✺
22.07.25	Simon Kiri - Ylivieskan Kuula	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Kannuksen Ura - Simon Kiri	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Simon Kiri - Puijon Pesis	1:1 penalties ✺
11.07.25	Simon Kiri - Siilinjärven Pesis	1:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Puna-Mustat - Simon Kiri