Match Info

Friendly International

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Twickenham Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport


	Barbarians		Wales

	1	X	2
	2.2	19	1.73
	2.08	25	1.76
	2.17	27.66	1.71	Watch
	2.04	24.45	1.73
	2	21	1.83
	2.08	26	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.57)	23.85 ↑ (20.1)	1.75 ↓ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 72.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barbarians
43.8%

Draw
3.8%

Wales
52.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.3%

4.6%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbarians has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barbarians's form might have worsened.

Wales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Wales's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Barbarians - Wales Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Barbarians will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 35:37

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kharaishvili G.	1. Thomas G.
2. Dee E.	2. Lake D.
3. Koch V.	3. Lewis D.
4. Rodda I.	4. Carter B.
5. Taofifenua R.	5. Williams T.
6. Salakaia-Loto L.	6. Plumtree T.
7. Boshier L.	7. Morgan J.
8. Hughes N.	8. Wainwright A.
9. de Klerk F. (C)	9. Hardy K.
10. Plummer H.	10. Edwards D.
11. Vakatawa V.	11. Mee E.
12. Nankivell A.	12. Hawkins J.
13. Ward J. C.	13. James E.
14. Kellaway A.	14. Rogers T.
15. Spring T.	15. Murray B.
Substitutes
16. Thacker H.	16. Elias R.
17. Iscaro J.	17. Barratt R.
18. Alo-Emile P.	18. Warren B.
19. Tanga Mangene Y.	19. Woodman R.
20. Joseph J.	20. Keddie H.
21. Arata S.	21. Morgan-Williams R.
22. North G.	22. Costelow S.
23. McConnell L.	23. Grady M.
Coaches
. Deans R.	. Tandy S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (5 - 14)
4', Hardy K. (Try),
5', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
8', Koch V. (Try),
23', Edwards D. (Try),
24', Edwards D. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (26 - 19)
45', Edwards D. (Try),
48', North G. (Try),
56', Morgan-Williams R. (Try),
57', Costelow S. (Conversion Goal),
59', Nankivell A. (Try),
59', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
67', Mee E. (Try),
68', Costelow S. (Conversion Goal),
70', North G. (Try),
71', Plummer H. (Conversion Goal),
77', Arata S. (Try),
78', North G. (Conversion Goal),

Preview

Wales may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Barbarians won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 59:92. (average 29.5:46).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barbarian FC
Friendly International Rugby Union
20.06.26	South Africa - Barbarians	80:31 ✺
01.11.25	Barbarians - New Zealand A	19:33 ✺
28.06.25	South Africa - Barbarians	54:7 ✺
22.06.24	Barbarians - Fiji	45:32 ✺
04.11.23	Wales - Barbarians	49:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLLWL
- Wales rugby
Six Nations
14.03.26	Wales - Italy	31:17 ✺
06.03.26	Ireland - Wales	27:17 ✺
21.02.26	Wales - Scotland	23:26 ✺
15.02.26	Wales - France	12:54 ✺
07.02.26	England - Wales	48:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Friendly International Rugby Union
04.11.23	Wales - Barbarians	49:26
30.11.19	Wales - Barbarians	43:33

Barbarians - Wales: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide