Match Info
Six Nations - Round 3Date: 21 February 2026, SaturdayLocation: Principality Stadium (Cardiff)Referee: Selwood G. (Usa)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Wales |
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Scotland |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
7.5 |
41 |
1.13 |
|
 |
9 |
51 |
1.06 |
|
 |
7.2 |
35 |
1.08 |
|
 |
7.83 |
32.05 |
1.1 |
Watch |
 |
7 |
29 |
1.1 |
|
 |
7.03 |
29 |
1.1 |
|
 |
9 |
36 |
1.06 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
7.79 ↓ (9.5) |
36.15 ↓ (51) |
1.09 ↑ (1.05) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 55.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-20)
- The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Wales 12% | Draw 2.6% | Scotland 85.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Wales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Scotland has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Wales - Scotland Predictions
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. Scotland will win (votes: 2 - 100%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Scotland (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:38 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Carre R.
| 1. McBeth N.
|
2. Lake D. (C)
| 2. Cherry D.
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3. Francis T.
| 3. Fagerson Z.
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4. Jenkins D.
| 4. Williamson M.
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5. Carter B.
| 5. Cummings S.
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6. Plumtree T.
| 6. Brown G.
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7. Mann A.
| 7. Darge R.
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8. Wainwright A.
| 8. Fagerson M.
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9. Williams T.
| 9. White B.
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10. Costelow S.
| 10. Russell F.
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11. Adams J.
| 11. van der Merwe D.
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12. Hawkins J.
| 12. Tuipulotu S. (C)
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13. James E.
| 13. Jones H.
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14. Hamer-Webb G.
| 14. Steyn K.
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15. Rees-Zammit L.
| 15. Kinghorn B.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Elias R.
| 16. Turner G.
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17. Smith N.
| 17. Schoeman P.
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18. Griffin A.
| 18. Millar-Mills E.
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19. Thomas F.
| 19. Gilchrist G.
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20. Botham J.
| 20. Bayliss J.
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21. Hardy K.
| 21. Horne G.
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22. Evans J.
| 22. Jordan T.
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23. Murray B.
| 23. Graham D.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Tandy S.
| . Townsend G.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (17 - 5)
- 2', Hamer-Webb G. ↓, Murray B. ↑,
- 4', Hawkins J. 🟨,
- 9', Carre R. (Try),
- 9', Costelow S. (Conversion Goal),
- 9', Plumtree T. ↓, Botham J. ↑,
- 9', Murray B. ↓, Hamer-Webb G. ↑,
- 13', Steyn K. (Try),
- 14', Russell F. (Missed Conversion),
- 18', Adams J. (Try),
- 19', Costelow S. (Conversion Goal),
- 30', Costelow S. (Penalty Goal),
- 34', McBeth N. ↓, Schoeman P. ↑,
- 34', Williamson M. ↓, Bayliss J. ↑,
- 2nd Half (6 - 21)
- 43', Carre R. ↓, Smith N. ↑,
- 48', Costelow S. (Penalty Goal),
- 51', Francis T. ↓, Griffin A. ↑,
- 54', Russell F. (Try),
- 54', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Lake D. ↓, Elias R. ↑,
- 54', Costelow S. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 54', van der Merwe D. ↓, Graham D. ↑,
- 54', White B. ↓, Horne G. ↑,
- 54', Cherry D. ↓, Turner G. ↑,
- 54', Fagerson Z. ↓, Millar-Mills E. ↑,
- 57', Evans J. (Penalty Goal),
- 57', Graham D. (Try),
- 58', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 61', Hamer-Webb G. ↓, Murray B. ↑,
- 66', Cummings S. ↓, Gilchrist G. ↑,
- 66', Jones H. ↓, Jordan T. ↑,
- 74', Turner G. (Try),
- 75', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 77', Jenkins D. ↓, Thomas F. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Wales won 2. In this match, Scotland is the obvious favorite.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Wales won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 349:311. (average 21.8:19.4).
Standings
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 4 | Scotland | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 115:131 | 11 |
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| 6 | Wales | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 76:195 | 3 |
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Six Nations | | | 08.03.25 | Scotland - Wales | 35:29 | | 03.02.24 | Wales - Scotland | 26:27 | | 11.02.23 | Scotland - Wales | 35:7 | | 12.02.22 | Wales - Scotland | 20:17 | | 13.02.21 | Scotland - Wales | 24:25 | | 31.10.20 | Wales - Scotland | 10:14 | | 09.03.19 | Scotland - Wales | 11:18 |
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