Match Info

Date: 28 August 2020, Friday


	Bulava Taganrog		Bogatiri Krasnodar

	1	X	2
	1.62	19	2.3
	1.48	23	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (2.11)	21 ↓ (23)	2.54 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 40.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bulava Taganrog
59.3%

Draw
4.4%

Bogatiri Krasnodar
36.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

4.2%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bulava Taganrog has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bulava Taganrog's performance.

Bogatiri Krasnodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bogatiri Krasnodar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bulava Taganrog than the current prediction. (-17.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bulava Taganrog that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogatiri Krasnodar than the current prediction. (+18%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bogatiri Krasnodar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Bulava Taganrog - Bogatiri Krasnodar Predictions

Users Predictions: Bulava Taganrog will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:17

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Preview

Bulava is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bogatiri has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bulava won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20-110.

Including matches at home between the teams Bulava won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-34.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bulava Taganrog
Russian Premier League Rugby
21.08.20	Strela Kazan - Bulava Taganrog	66:12 ✺
07.08.20	Slava Moscow - Bulava Taganrog	49:27 ✺
31.07.20	Krasny Yar Krasnoyarsk - Bulava Taganrog	26:12 ✺
23.07.20	Bulava Taganrog - CSKA Moscow	16:3 ✺
09.07.20	Lokomotiv Penza - Bulava Taganrog	31:11 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWL
- Bogatiri Krasnodar
Russian Premier League Rugby
21.08.20	Bogatiri Krasnodar - Slava Moscow	21:55 ✺
06.08.20	Lokomotiv Penza - Bogatiri Krasnodar	54:0 ✺
31.07.20	CSKA Moscow - Bogatiri Krasnodar	30:10 ✺
23.07.20	VVA Podmoskovye - Bogatiri Krasnodar	83:5 ✺
10.07.20	Strela Kazan - Bogatiri Krasnodar	59:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League Rugby
08.09.19	Bogatiri Krasnodar - Bulava Taganrog	76:7
19.07.19	Bulava Taganrog - Bogatiri Krasnodar	13:34

Bulava Taganrog - Bogatiri Krasnodar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide