Match Info

WORLD: Friendly International

Date: 22 June 2024, Saturday

Location: New National Stadium (Tokyo)

Referee: Ramos L. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	J sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport, Ziggo Sport Select
Portugal	Sport TV2
Singapore	RugbyPass TV
United-kingdom	Premier Sports, Premier Sports Player


	Japan		England

	1	X	2
	11	51	1.03
	12	26	1.02
	10	25	1.06
	10	51	1.04
	13.6	41	1.04
	10	45	1.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.1 ↑ (8.6)	39.83 ↑ (30.8)	1.04 ↓ (1.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 56.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-21)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Japan
8.3%

Draw
2.3%

England
89.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

10.8%

86.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Japan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

England has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Japan - England Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 18:39

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mohara T.	1. Rodd B.
2. Harada M.	2. George J.
3. Shuhei T.	3. Cole D.
4. Waqa S.	4. Itoje M.
5. Dearns W.	5. Martin G.
6. Leitch M.	6. Cunningham-South C.
7. Costley T.	7. Underhill S.
8. Makisi F.	8. Earl B.
9. Saito N.	9. Mitchell A.
10. Seung-Sin L.	10. Smith M.
11. Nezuka K.	11. Freeman T.
12. Osada T.	12. Lawrence O.
13. Tua S.	13. Slade H.
14. Naikabula J.	14. Feyi-Waboso I.
15. Yazaki Y.	15. Furbank G.
Substitutes
16. Sakate A.	16. Dan T.
17. Miura S.	17. Marler J.
18. Tamefusa K.	18. Stuart W.
19. Saumaki A.	19. Ewels C.
20. Yamamoto K.	20. Curry T.
21. Fujiwara S.	21. Randall H.
22. Matsuda R.	22. Smith F.
23. Yamasawa T.	23. Roebuck T.
Coaches
. Jones E.	. Borthwick S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 26)
2', Seung-Sin L. (Penalty Goal),
14', Cunningham-South C. (Try),
15', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
24', Smith M. (Try),
25', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
29', Feyi-Waboso I. (Try),
30', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
40+2', Slade H. (Try),
40+3', Smith M. (Missed Conversion),
2nd Half (14 - 26)
43', Mitchell A. (Try),
44', Smith M. (Conversion Goal),
44', Rodd B. ↓, Marler J. ↑,
44', George J. ↓, Dan T. ↑,
47', Shuhei T. ↓, Tamefusa K. ↑,
49', Harada M. ↓, Sakate A. ↑,
50', Earl B. (Try),
51', Smith M. (Missed Conversion),
51', Underhill S. ↓, Curry T. ↑,
51', Mitchell A. ↓, Randall H. ↑,
54', Smith M. 🟨,
55', Dearns W. ↓, Saumaki A. ↑,
55', Saito N. ↓, Fujiwara S. ↑,
57', Cunningham-South C. ↓, Underhill S. ↑,
57', Cole D. ↓, Stuart W. ↑,
58', Randall H. (Try),
60', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
60', Feyi-Waboso I. ↓, Roebuck T. ↑,
60', Costley T. ↓, Yamamoto K. ↑,
60', Seung-Sin L. ↓, Matsuda R. ↑,
63', Mohara T. ↓, Miura S. ↑,
66', Nezuka K. (Try),
66', Smith M. ↓, Smith F. ↑,
66', Freeman T. ↓, Ewels C. ↑,
67', Matsuda R. (Conversion Goal),
69', Matsuda R. (Try),
70', Matsuda R. (Conversion Goal),
74', Ewels C. 🟥,
77', Underhill S. (Try),
78', Slade H. (Conversion Goal),
80+1', 🟨,

Preview

In this match England is absolute favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Japan won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 40-121.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Japan rugby
Rugby World Cup
08.10.23	Japan - Argentina	27:39 ✺
28.09.23	Japan - Samoa	28:22 ✺
17.09.23	England - Japan	34:12 ✺
10.09.23	Japan - Chile	42:12 ✺
Friendly International Rugby Union
26.08.23	Italy - Japan	42:21 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWL
- England rugby
Six Nations
16.03.24	France - England	33:31 ✺
09.03.24	England - Ireland	23:22 ✺
24.02.24	Scotland - England	30:21 ✺
10.02.24	England - Wales	16:14 ✺
03.02.24	Italy - England	24:27 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Rugby World Cup
17.09.23	England - Japan	34:12
Friendly International Rugby Union
12.11.22	England - Japan	52:13
17.11.18	England - Japan	35:15

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