Match Info
Six Nations - Round 4Date: 7 March 2026, SaturdayLocation: Stadio Olimpico (Rome)Referee: Ramos L. (Fra)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
Asia | Premier Sports Rugby Asia |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Brazil | ESPN 2 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 1 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | TF 1 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Ireland | Virgin Media One, Virgin Media Player |
Malta | TSN Malta 1 |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 5 |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 1 |
Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
Norway | Viaplay |
Portugal | Sport TV6 |
Romania | Digi Sport 4 |
Slovakia | Nova Sport 6, Voyo |
South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
Spain | Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | TF 1 |
United-kingdom | ITV 1, ITV X, STV, STV Player, UTV, Virgin TV Go app |
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Italy |
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England |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
3.5 |
31 |
1.36 |
|
 |
3.1 |
26 |
1.36 |
|
 |
3.5 |
25 |
1.31 |
|
 |
3.41 |
25.14 |
1.37 |
Watch |
 |
3.25 |
26 |
1.33 |
|
 |
3.23 |
23 |
1.38 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.33 ↓ (3.52) |
26.02 ↑ (23.82) |
1.35 ↑ (1.32) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 51.50
- The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)
- The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Italy 27.8% | Draw 3.6% | England 68.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Italy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)England has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Italy - England Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. England (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
England will win
(6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 22:31 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1. Fischetti D.
| 1. Genge E.
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2. Nicotera G.
| 2. George J.
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3. Ferrari S.
| 3. Heyes J.
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4. Cannone N.
| 4. Itoje M. (C)
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5. Zambonin A.
| 5. Coles A.
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6. Lamaro M. (C)
| 6. Pepper G.
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7. Zuliani M.
| 7. Underhill S.
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8. Cannone L.
| 8. Earl B.
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9. Garbisi A.
| 9. Spencer B.
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10. Garbisi P.
| 10. Smith F.
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11. Ioane M.
| 11. Murley C.
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12. Menoncello T.
| 12. Atkinson S.
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13. Brex N.
| 13. Freeman T.
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14. Lynagh L.
| 14. Roebuck T.
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15. Pani L.
| 15. Daly E.
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| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Di Bartolomeo T.
| 16. Cowan-Dickie L.
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17. Spagnolo M.
| 17. Rodd B.
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18. Hasa M.
| 18. Davison T.
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19. Ruzza F.
| 19. Chessum O.
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20. Favretto R.
| 20. Cunningham-South C.
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21. Fusco A.
| 21. Pollock H.
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22. Marin L.
| 22. van Poortvliet J.
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23. Allan T.
| 23. Smith M.
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| Coaches |
|---|
. Quesada G.
| . Borthwick S.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (10 - 12)
- 21', Garbisi P. (Penalty Goal),
- 26', Freeman T. (Try),
- 27', Smith F. (Missed Conversion),
- 34', Menoncello T. (Try),
- 35', Garbisi P. (Conversion Goal),
- 40+2', Roebuck T. (Try),
- 40+3', Smith F. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (13 - 6)
- 45', Smith F. (Penalty Goal),
- 50', Zambonin A. ↓, Ruzza F. ↑,
- 51', Garbisi A. ↓, Fusco A. ↑,
- 51', Brex N. ↓, Marin L. ↑,
- 51', Ferrari S. ↓, Hasa M. ↑,
- 53', Nicotera G. 🟨,
- 54', Smith F. (Penalty Goal),
- 57', Underhill S. 🟨,
- 57', Garbisi P. (Penalty Goal),
- 58', Genge E. ↓, Rodd B. ↑,
- 58', Spencer B. ↓, van Poortvliet J. ↑,
- 58', Fischetti D. ↓, Spagnolo M. ↑,
- 61', Garbisi P. (Penalty Goal),
- 63', Nicotera G. ↓, Di Bartolomeo T. ↑,
- 65', Itoje M. 🟨,
- 67', Underhill S. ↓, Chessum O. ↑,
- 68', Heyes J. ↓, Davison T. ↑,
- 72', Marin L. (Try),
- 73', Garbisi P. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Pani L. ↓, Allan T. ↑,
- 73', Zuliani M. ↓, Favretto R. ↑,
- 73', Earl B. ↓, Pollock H. ↑,
- 73', Daly E. ↓, Smith M. ↑,
- 76', Pepper G. ↓, Cunningham-South C. ↑,
- 76', George J. ↓, Cowan-Dickie L. ↑,
- 80', Spagnolo M. ↓, Fischetti D. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Italy won 0. In this match, England is seen as the favorite.In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Italy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 177:546. (average 12.6:39).
Standings
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
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| 2 | England | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 179:105 | 20 |
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| 5 | Italy | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 106:188 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Six Nations | | | 09.03.25 | England - Italy | 47:24 | | 03.02.24 | Italy - England | 24:27 | | 12.02.23 | England - Italy | 31:14 | | 13.02.22 | Italy - England | 0:33 | | 13.02.21 | England - Italy | 41:18 | | 31.10.20 | Italy - England | 5:34 | | Friendly International Rugby Union | | | 06.09.19 | England - Italy | 37:0 |
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