Match Info

AUSTRALIA: Shute Shield - Round 16

Date: 27 July 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport


	Manly		Sydney University

	1	X	2
	1.64	26	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (2.5)	26 ↑ (20)	2.3 ↑ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manly
56.3%

Draw
3.6%

Sydney University
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

4.2%

62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

2.8%

42.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manly's performance.

Sydney University has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sydney University might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manly than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manly that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney University than the current prediction. (+2%)

Manly - Sydney University Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 24:20

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Manly won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Sydney University is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Manly won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 308-414.

Including matches at home between the teams Manly won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 119-128.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manly RUFC
Australian Shute Shield
20.07.24	Western Sydney Two Blues - Manly	24:31 ✺
13.07.24	Manly - Southern Districts	35:42 ✺
06.07.24	Warringah - Manly	17:20 ✺
29.06.24	Gordon - Manly	57:28 ✺
22.06.24	Manly - Hunter Wildfires	24:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLWLW
- Sydney University FC
Australian Shute Shield
19.07.24	Sydney University - West Harbour	48:0 ✺
13.07.24	Hunter Wildfires - Sydney University	10:43 ✺
06.07.24	Sydney University - Southern Districts	56:0 ✺
29.06.24	Warringah - Sydney University	50:14 ✺
22.06.24	Sydney University - Western Sydney Two Blues	25:30 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian Shute Shield
13.04.24	Sydney University - Manly	29:31
17.06.23	Sydney University - Manly	21:17
18.06.22	Sydney University - Manly	10:20
08.05.21	Sydney University - Manly	48:13
25.07.20	Sydney University - Manly	10:6
10.08.19	Sydney University - Manly	47:31
15.06.19	Sydney University - Manly	21:27

Manly - Sydney University: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide