Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday


	Metallurg Novokuznetsk		VVA Podmoskovye

	1	X	2
	1.74	25	2.18
	1.71	23	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.78)	24 ↓ (26)	2.18 ↑ (2.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 47.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
53.7%

Draw
3.9%

VVA Podmoskovye
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

3.6%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

4.1%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

VVA Podmoskovye has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Metallurg Novokuznetsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVA Podmoskovye than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that VVA Podmoskovye could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Metallurg Novokuznetsk - VVA Podmoskovye Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 26:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (15 - 8)
2nd Half (10 - 24)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 1.

Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 163:246. (average 16.3:24.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 89:131. (average 17.8:26.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Metallurg Novokuznetsk
Russian Premier League Rugby
15.06.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Dynamo Moscow	17:69
08.06.25	Krasny Yar Krasnoyarsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	68:14
24.05.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Strela Kazan	13:67
16.05.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	24:59
11.05.25	Slava Moscow - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	42:13 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- VVA Podmoskovye
Russian Premier League Rugby
14.06.25	VVA Podmoskovye - Slava Moscow	17:26 ✺
08.06.25	Dynamo Moscow - VVA Podmoskovye	54:0
25.05.25	VVA Podmoskovye - Lokomotiv Penza	19:41
17.05.25	Strela Kazan - VVA Podmoskovye	66:10
11.05.25	VVA Podmoskovye - Krasny Yar Krasnoyarsk	0:86
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League Rugby
07.07.24	VVA Podmoskovye - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	10:29
31.07.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - VVA Podmoskovye	33:36
24.07.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - VVA Podmoskovye	10:15
17.04.22	VVA Podmoskovye - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	37:6
02.08.21	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - VVA Podmoskovye	17:31
24.04.21	VVA Podmoskovye - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	22:16
03.10.20	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - VVA Podmoskovye	26:14

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