Match Info

Shute Shield - Round 11

Date: 21 June 2025, Saturday


	Northern Suburbs		Eastern Suburbs

	1	X	2
	3.43	23	1.33
	4.64	21	1.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.04 ↑ (3.43)	22 ↓ (23)	1.26 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Northern Suburbs
22.7%

Draw
4.2%

Eastern Suburbs
73.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

3.8%

72.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Northern Suburbs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Eastern Suburbs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northern Suburbs than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eastern Suburbs than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Northern Suburbs won 2.

Northern Suburbs is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Eastern Suburbs is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Northern Suburbs has had a series of home games.

In this match, Eastern Suburbs is seen as the favorite.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Northern Suburbs won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 403:336. (average 26.9:22.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Northern Suburbs won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 156:150. (average 22.3:21.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Northern Suburbs RC
Australian Shute Shield
14.06.25	Northern Suburbs - Western Sydney Two Blues	26:24 ✺
24.05.25	Northern Suburbs - Sydney University	32:30 ✺
17.05.25	Hunter Wildfires - Northern Suburbs	40:20 ✺
10.05.25	Northern Suburbs - Randwick	34:19 ✺
03.05.25	Northern Suburbs - Southern Districts	33:17 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWLWW
- Eastern Suburbs RUFC
Australian Shute Shield
14.06.25	Eastwood - Eastern Suburbs	24:26 ✺
24.05.25	Eastern Suburbs - Warringah	32:31 ✺
17.05.25	West Harbour - Eastern Suburbs	12:55 ✺
10.05.25	Sydney University - Eastern Suburbs	36:40 ✺
03.05.25	Eastern Suburbs - Manly	66:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian Shute Shield
19.04.25	Eastern Suburbs - Northern Suburbs	27:16
31.08.24	Eastern Suburbs - Northern Suburbs	36:35
18.05.24	Eastern Suburbs - Northern Suburbs	37:24
29.07.23	Eastern Suburbs - Northern Suburbs	12:48
20.05.23	Northern Suburbs - Eastern Suburbs	24:15
05.06.21	Eastern Suburbs - Northern Suburbs	31:29
22.08.20	Northern Suburbs - Eastern Suburbs	24:14

Northern Suburbs - Eastern Suburbs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide