Match Info

FRANCE: PRO D2 - ROUND 21

Date: 23 February 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Rouen Normandie		Montauban

	1	X	2
	1.44	21	2.88
	1.44	21	2.87
	1.46	18	2.9
	1.44	21	2.88
	1.41	15	3.06
	1.45	21	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.55)	19.5 ↑ (18.5)	2.91 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 44.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rouen Normandie
63.7%

Draw
4.7%

Montauban
31.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.9%

4.9%

36.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.3%

5.2%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rouen Normandie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Montauban has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rouen Normandie than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Rouen Normandie that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montauban than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Montauban could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Rouen Normandie - Montauban Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 25:20

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Rouen won 1.

Recent matches Rouen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Montauban is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rouen will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Rouen to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Rouen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 156-223.

Including matches at home between the teams Rouen won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 73-65.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rouen Normandie Rugby
French Pro D2
16.02.24	Biarritz - Rouen Normandie	22:8 ✺
09.02.24	Rouen Normandie - Valence Romans Drôme	22:19 ✺
26.01.24	Colomiers - Rouen Normandie	38:10 ✺
19.01.24	Rouen Normandie - Nevers	37:7 ✺
12.01.24	Brive - Rouen Normandie	21:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWLWL
- US Montauban
French Pro D2
16.02.24	Valence Romans Drôme - Montauban	21:13 ✺
09.02.24	Montauban - Béziers	34:37 ✺
26.01.24	Montauban - SA XV Charente	16:14 ✺
19.01.24	Brive - Montauban	38:13 ✺
12.01.24	Montauban - FC Grenoble	11:28 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
13.09.23	Montauban - Rouen Normandie	23:16
07.04.23	Montauban - Rouen Normandie	38:16
02.12.22	Rouen Normandie - Montauban	34:23
10.03.22	Rouen Normandie - Montauban	17:34
29.10.21	Montauban - Rouen Normandie	37:22
19.02.21	Montauban - Rouen Normandie	20:15
11.12.20	Rouen Normandie - Montauban	22:8

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Montauban
French Pro D2
30.10.26	Montauban - RC Narbonne	✺

Rouen Normandie - Montauban