Match Info
Bunnings NPCDate: 14 September 2025, Sunday ๐ Finished Location: Rugby Park Stadium (Invercargill) ๐ค๏ธ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
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Australia | 14:35 | Stan Sport |
New Zealand | 16:35 | Sky Sport 1 |
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Southland |
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Counties Manukau |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.53 |
21 |
2.5 |
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 |
1.54 |
24 |
2.5 |
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 |
1.47 |
20.02 |
2.85 |
Watch |
 |
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Watch |
 |
1.55 |
25 |
2.5 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↓ (1.57) |
22.51 ↓ (23) |
2.59 ↑ (2.43) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 57.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Southland 60.4% | Draw 4.1% | Counties Manukau 35.5% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Southland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Counties Manukau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southland than the current prediction. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Counties Manukau than the current prediction. (+1.4%)Southland - Counties Manukau Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Southland will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Counties Manukau will win (votes: 11 - 91.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Counties Manukau: 76.1% โ 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH +4.5 - Counties Manukau (1.88) (votes: 3 - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Counties Manukau will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%) ๐ฅ Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Southland (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Counties Manukau (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:27 
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Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Southland won 2.Recent performances by Southland have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).Counties Manukau's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).Southland may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Southland is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.We predict that Southland will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Southland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 184:244. (average 23:30.5).Including home matches between the teams, Southland won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 108:107. (average 27:26.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NPC | | | 09.09.23 | Counties Manukau - Southland | 39:29 | | 24.09.22 | Southland - Counties Manukau | 30:26 | | 13.11.20 | Counties Manukau - Southland | 25:17 | | 21.09.19 | Southland - Counties Manukau | 42:14 | | 07.09.18 | Southland - Counties Manukau | 26:43 | | 03.10.14 | Southland - Counties Manukau | 10:24 | | 11.10.13 | Counties Manukau - Southland | 25:7 |
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