Match Info

Bunnings NPC - Round 1

Date: 31 July 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Navigation Homes Stadium (Pukekohe) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	12:05	Stan Sport
New Zealand	14:05	Sky Sport 1
International	02:05	RugbyPass TV


	Counties Manukau		Taranaki

	1	X	2
	3.7	30	1.27
	3.83	29.27	1.28	Watch
	3.36	26.42	1.24
	3.7	30	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↓ (3.72)	28.92 ↑ (22.79)	1.27 ↓ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 63.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Counties Manukau
24.9%

Draw
3.1%

Taranaki
71.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25%

4.1%

70.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Counties Manukau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Taranaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Counties Manukau - Taranaki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 27:37

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 10)
2nd Half (5 - 10)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Counties Manukau won 1.

In this match, Taranaki is the team to beat.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Counties Manukau won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 278:316. (average 23.2:26.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Counties Manukau won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 143:140. (average 28.6:28).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Counties Manukau
New Zealand NPC
11.10.25	Canterbury - Counties Manukau	23:15 OT ✺
04.10.25	Tasman - Counties Manukau	41:49 ✺
27.09.25	Counties Manukau - Manawatu	48:24 ✺
19.09.25	Counties Manukau - Auckland	49:28 ✺
14.09.25	Southland - Counties Manukau	10:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LWWWW
- Taranaki
New Zealand NPC
11.10.25	Hawkes Bay - Taranaki	26:12 ✺
04.10.25	Canterbury - Taranaki	34:14 ✺
26.09.25	Taranaki - Wellington	39:20 ✺
19.09.25	Taranaki - Hawkes Bay	38:24 ✺
13.09.25	Otago - Taranaki	28:26 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NPC
29.08.25	Counties Manukau - Taranaki	22:43
09.08.24	Taranaki - Counties Manukau	31:15
04.08.23	Taranaki - Counties Manukau	37:29
21.09.22	Taranaki - Counties Manukau	25:14
31.10.20	Taranaki - Counties Manukau	27:31
10.08.19	Counties Manukau - Taranaki	29:34
29.08.18	Counties Manukau - Taranaki	19:26

Counties Manukau - Taranaki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide