Match Info
NEW ZEALAND: Bunnings NPC - Round 7Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday ๐ Finished Location: Yarrow Stadium (New Plymouth) ๐ค๏ธ ...Where to Watch on TV: | Country | Kick-Off | TV Channels |
|---|
 Australia | 17:05 | Stan Sport |
 New Zealand | 19:05 | Sky Sport 1 |
 South Africa | 09:05 | SuperSport Rugby |
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Taranaki |
|
North Harbour |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.16 |
26 |
5 |
|
 |
1.18 |
30 |
4.95 |
|
 |
1.17 |
35.47 |
5.29 |
 Watch |
 |
1.17 |
29 |
5 |
|
 |
1.18 |
36 |
4.56 |
|
 |
1.18 |
30 |
4.95 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.17 ↓
(1.36) |
31.08 ↑
(31) |
4.96 ↑
(3.32) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 59.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Taranaki
78.5% | Draw
3% | North Harbour
18.6% |
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML EstimationAnalysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:Taranaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taranaki's performance.North Harbour has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and North Harbour might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taranaki than the current prediction. (-10.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taranaki that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Harbour than the current prediction. (+10.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that North Harbour could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Taranaki - North Harbour Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 37:24 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
|---|
1.  O'Neill M.
| 1.  Ruzich B.
|
2. Riccitelli R.
| 2. Gordon B.
|
3. Reuben O.
| 3. Mafileo S.
|
4. Parete J.
| 4. Ngakuru M.
|
5. Lord J.
| 5. Suafoa C.
|
6. Poliko A.
| 6. Cook T.
|
7. Loft M.
| 7. Melvin J.
|
8. Boshier K.
| 8.  Inisi L.
|
9. Crowley L.
| 9. Nginingini S.
|
10. Jacomb J.
| 10. Edmed T.
|
11. Naholo K.
| 11. Leo M.
|
12. Rona D.
| 12. Little J.
|
13. Setu J.
| 13. Inisi F.
|
14. Tikoisolomone V.
| 14. Faingaanuku T.
|
15. Ratumaitavuki-Kneepkens J.
| 15. Banks K.
|
| Substitutes |
|---|
16. Slater B.
| 16. Klein S.
|
17. Lawrence P.
| 17. Mafile'o T.
|
18.  Bent M.
| 18. Paea F.
|
19. Sa J.
| 19.  Slade S.
|
20. Peters N.
| 20. Kalapu F.
|
21. Lennox A.
| 21. Hall B.
|
22. Reti E.
| 22. Barham T.
|
23. Samate O.
| 23. Stevenson S.
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (21 - 18)
- 6', Loft M. 🟨,
- 7', Faingaanuku T. (Try),
- 13', Riccitelli R. (Try),
- 14', Jacomb J. (Conversion Goal),
- 19', Riccitelli R. (Try),
- 20', Jacomb J. (Conversion Goal),
- 22', Leo M. (Try),
- 23', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
- 28', Edmed T. (Penalty Goal),
- 36', Edmed T. (Penalty Goal),
- 37', Ruzich B. 🟨,
- 38', Crowley L. (Try),
- 39', Jacomb J. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (10 - 7)
- 43', Riccitelli R. (Try),
- 69', Klein S. 🟨,
- 70', Riccitelli R. (Try),
- 73', Edmed T. (Try),
- 74', Edmed T. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
Taranaki is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4). Recent matches North Harbour is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2). In this match Taranaki is indisputable favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Taranaki won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 132-175. Including matches at home between the teams Taranaki won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 80-76.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| New Zealand NPC | | | 30.09.23 | Taranaki - North Harbour | 54:21 | | 24.09.22 | North Harbour - Taranaki | 35:19 | | 29.09.18 | Taranaki - North Harbour | 26:55 | | 14.10.17 | North Harbour - Taranaki | 64:33 |
|
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