Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 3

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Canal+ Live 6


	US Dax		Valence Romans Drôme

	1	X	2
	1.29	26	3.75
	1.31	25	3.45
	1.3	23	3.4	Watch
	1.25	33	4.15
	1.31	20	3.64
	1.32	26	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.36)	25.5 ↑ (19)	3.65 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

US Dax
71.1%

Draw
3.6%

Valence Romans Drôme
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.6%

4.7%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

US Dax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in US Dax's performance.

Valence Romans Drôme has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

US Dax - Valence Romans Drôme Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. US Dax will win (votes: 1 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 32:23

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (17 - 7)
14', Idoumi S. (Try),
14', Moura J. (Conversion Goal),
24', Leatigaga N. (Try),
24', Seguy R. (Conversion Goal),
35', Seguy R. (Penalty Goal),
36', Daguerre B. (Try),
36', Seguy R. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (10 - 13)
60', Idoumi S. (Try),
60', Moura J. (Conversion Goal),
61', Naseara J. (Try),
61', Seguy R. (Conversion Goal),
70', Moura J. (Penalty Goal),
77', Moura J. (Penalty Goal),
79', Seguy R. (Penalty Goal),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, US Dax won 1.

US Dax may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, US Dax is a strong favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, US Dax won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 128:167. (average 21.3:27.8).

Including home matches between the teams, US Dax won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 66:72. (average 22:24).

Outrights of French Pro D2 for now

Valence Romans: 1.59% US Dax: 1.13%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Pts
8	US Dax	6	3	0	3	215:236	14
9	Valence Romans	6	2	0	4	167:139	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Dax
French Pro D2
04.09.26	Stade Aurillacois - US Dax	65:35 ✺
27.08.26	US Dax - RC Narbonne	57:19 ✺
15.05.26	Vannes - US Dax	47:0 ✺
08.05.26	US Dax - Valence Romans Drôme	31:33 ✺
24.04.26	US Dax - Nevers	36:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LWLLW
- Valence Romans Drôme Rugby
French Pro D2
04.09.26	Valence Romans Drôme - SA XV Charente	39:22 ✺
28.08.26	Brive - Valence Romans Drôme	23:21 ✺
21.05.26	Oyonnax Rugby - Valence Romans Drôme	39:14 ✺
15.05.26	Valence Romans Drôme - Provence Rugby	21:34 ✺
08.05.26	US Dax - Valence Romans Drôme	31:33 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
08.05.26	US Dax - Valence Romans Drôme	31:33
29.08.25	Valence Romans Drôme - US Dax	36:23
07.02.25	US Dax - Valence Romans Drôme	17:23
06.09.24	Valence Romans Drôme - US Dax	29:32
01.03.24	Valence Romans Drôme - US Dax	30:7
08.12.23	US Dax - Valence Romans Drôme	18:16

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