The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
US Dax 68.2%
Draw 4.4%
Montauban 27.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
65.6%
4.7%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67%
4.8%
28.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
US Dax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
Montauban has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for US Dax than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montauban than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
US Dax - Montauban Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:22
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (26 - 21)
1', Jackson J. (Try),
2', Fortunel T. (Conversion Goal),
4', (Missed Conversion),
9', Seguy R. (Penalty Goal),
10', Daguerre B. (Try),
12', (Missed Conversion),
14', Seguy R. (Penalty Goal),
17', Leatigaga N. (Try),
18', Seguy R. (Conversion Goal),
22', Gatelier T. (Try),
25', (Missed Conversion),
32', Essia (Penalty Try),
36', Seguy R. (Penalty Goal),
40+1', Jackson J. (Try),
40+1', Mouchous B. (Conversion Goal),
2nd Half (28 - 7)
43', Gatelier T. (Try),
43', Seguy R. (Conversion Goal),
62', Barrere J. (Try),
63', Seguy R. (Conversion Goal),
66', Ekuasi V. (Try),
66', Mouchous B. (Conversion Goal),
72', Mariluz (Try),
73', Seguy R. (Conversion Goal),
77', Laperne P. (Try),
79', Seguy R. (Conversion Goal),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, US Dax won 3.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
Montauban could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
US Dax carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for US Dax in today's match, at odds of 1.34.
In the last 12 head-to-head meetings, US Dax has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 256:260 (averaging 21.3:21.7 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for US Dax against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 106:85 goals (averaging 17.7:14.2 per game).
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