Match Info

Premier League - 5th-8th places - 7th place

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	VVA Podmoskovye		Metallurg Novokuznetsk

	1	X	2
	1.34	27	3.36
	1.32	28	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (3.36)	27.5 ↓ (28)	3.38 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 49.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-10)

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

VVA Podmoskovye
69.4%

Draw
3.4%

Metallurg Novokuznetsk
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

3.3%

69.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

3.4%

66.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

VVA Podmoskovye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+41.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in VVA Podmoskovye's performance.

Metallurg Novokuznetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-41.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metallurg Novokuznetsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for VVA Podmoskovye than the current prediction. (-40.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with VVA Podmoskovye that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+39.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metallurg Novokuznetsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

VVA Podmoskovye - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 30:20

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (21 - 0)
2nd Half (10 - 14)

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VVA won 3.

Neither of the teams could find their winning rhythm in recent games.

Metallurg N may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, VVA is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, VVA won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 299:212. (average 24.9:17.7).

Including home matches between the teams, VVA won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 136:98. (average 22.7:16.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VVA Podmoskovye
Russian Premier League Rugby
04.10.25	Slava Moscow - VVA Podmoskovye	31:18 ✺
27.09.25	VVA Podmoskovye - Slava Moscow	24:34 ✺
20.09.25	VVA Podmoskovye - Yenisey Krasnoyarsk	6:55 ✺
13.09.25	Krasny Yar Krasnoyarsk - VVA Podmoskovye	47:17 ✺
30.08.25	VVA Podmoskovye - Strela Kazan	20:32
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- RC Metallurg Novokuznetsk
Russian Premier League Rugby
05.10.25	Lokomotiv Penza - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	62:17
20.09.25	Lokomotiv Penza - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	45:30 ✺
13.09.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Slava Moscow	16:18 ✺
31.08.25	Yenisey Krasnoyarsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	38:3
23.08.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Krasny Yar Krasnoyarsk	5:40
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Russian Premier League Rugby
16.08.25	VVA Podmoskovye - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	21:24
21.06.25	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - VVA Podmoskovye	25:32
07.07.24	VVA Podmoskovye - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	10:29
31.07.23	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - VVA Podmoskovye	33:36
24.07.22	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - VVA Podmoskovye	10:15
17.04.22	VVA Podmoskovye - Metallurg Novokuznetsk	37:6
02.08.21	Metallurg Novokuznetsk - VVA Podmoskovye	17:31

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