Match Info

Pro D2 - Round 8

Date: 23 October 2025, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


France	CANAL+ Sport


	Valence Romans Drôme		Agen

	1	X	2
	1.04	51	10
	1.04	40	9.2
	1.33	20.78	3.64	Watch
	1.05	34	9.91
	1.15	36	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.12 ↓ (1.31)	36.36 ↑ (17)	7.62 ↑ (3.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 53.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-20)

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valence Romans Drôme
84.9%

Draw
2.6%

Agen
12.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

5.3%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

4.1%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valence Romans Drôme has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Valence Romans Drôme's performance.

Agen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Agen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valence Romans Drôme than the current prediction. (-31.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Valence Romans Drôme that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Agen than the current prediction. (+20.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Agen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Valence Romans Drôme - Agen Predictions

Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Valence Romans will win (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -11.5 - Valence Romans (1.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Valence Romans (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 37:17

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (28 - 17)
2nd Half (28 - 0)

Preview

Valence Romans has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Agen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Valence Romans is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Valence Romans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 109:96. (average 27.3:24).

Including home matches between the teams, Valence Romans won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 68:46. (average 34:23).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valence Romans Drôme Rugby
French Pro D2
17.10.25	Béziers - Valence Romans Drôme	29:37 ✺
03.10.25	Valence Romans Drôme - Mont-De-Marsan	35:21 ✺
26.09.25	Oyonnax Rugby - Valence Romans Drôme	55:8 ✺
19.09.25	Valence Romans Drôme - SA XV Charente	31:0 ✺
12.09.25	Brive - Valence Romans Drôme	48:10 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLWL
- SU Agen Lot-et-Garonne
French Pro D2
17.10.25	Agen - Brive	41:10 ✺
03.10.25	Colomiers - Agen	31:5 ✺
25.09.25	Agen - Béziers	21:10 ✺
19.09.25	Carcassonne - Agen	13:17 ✺
11.09.25	Agen - FC Grenoble	38:20 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Pro D2
28.02.25	Agen - Valence Romans Drôme	26:23
27.09.24	Valence Romans Drôme - Agen	30:25
19.04.24	Valence Romans Drôme - Agen	38:21
05.01.24	Agen - Valence Romans Drôme	24:18

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