Match Info

Copa Betano do Brasil - 1/128-finals

Date: 25 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira (Marabá) 🌤️ ...


	Águia de Marabá		Independência

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.5	6.5
	1.4	4.1	7
	1.43	4.25	6.9
	1.41	4.54	6.36
	1.43	4.51	6.32	Watch
	1.4	4	7
	1.41	4.45	7.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)	4.34 ↑ (4.08)	6.75 ↓ (7.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águia de Marabá
65.2%

Draw
21.2%

Independência
13.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.3%

22.3%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

21.5%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águia de Marabá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Independência has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independência than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Águia de Marabá - Independência Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, PH ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
75', 2 - 0, Gustavo Vintecinco ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by Águia de Marabá have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Independência is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Águia de Marabá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Águia de Marabá is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Águia de Marabá won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Águia de Marabá won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águia de Marabá
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
18.02.26	Águia de Marabá - Remo	1:2 penalties ✺
15.02.26	Águia de Marabá - Cametá	1:0 ✺
12.02.26	Capitão Poço - Águia de Marabá	1:1 ✺
05.02.26	Remo - Águia de Marabá	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Águia de Marabá	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWTLW
- Independência FC
Brazilian Campeonato Acreano
10.02.26	Vasco da Gama AC - Independência	1:3 ✺
02.02.26	Rio Branco FC - Independência	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Independência - Humaitá	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Independência - São Francisco Rio Branco	0:1 ✺
15.01.26	Independência - Santa Cruz Acre	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
19.07.25	Águia de Marabá - Independência	4:1
27.04.25	Independência - Águia de Marabá	0:2
Brazilian Copa Verde
22.01.25	Águia de Marabá - Independência	2:1 penalties

Águia de Marabá - Independência