Match Info

Acreano - Round 5

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday


	Vasco da Gama AC		Independência

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.5	2.96
	2.08	3.58	3.01	Watch
	2.05	3.25	3.1
	2.08	3.42	3.05
	2.12	3.4	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.77)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	3 ↓ (4.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vasco da Gama AC
43.5%

Draw
26.4%

Independência
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.8%

25.5%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vasco da Gama AC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Vasco da Gama AC's form might have worsened.

Independência has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independência's recent form is better than expected.

Vasco da Gama AC - Independência Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
8', 0 - 1, Diogo Correia ⚽,
33', 0 - 2, Caique Gomes ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 0 - 3, Caique Gomes ⚽,
86', 1 - 3, Leoznho ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 and 8 in the zone Relegation ~ Acreano 2).

Independência may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Vasco da Gama AC is a strong favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vasco da Gama AC won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Vasco da Gama AC won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vasco da Gama AC
Brazilian Campeonato Acreano
04.02.26	Humaitá - Vasco da Gama AC	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Santa Cruz Acre - Vasco da Gama AC	1:0 ✺
26.01.26	Vasco da Gama AC - Senador Guiomard	3:1 ✺
17.01.26	Vasco da Gama AC - Rio Branco FC	2:3 ✺
22.03.25	Vasco da Gama AC - Galvez	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLWLL
- Independência FC
Brazilian Campeonato Acreano
02.02.26	Rio Branco FC - Independência	2:1 ✺
28.01.26	Independência - Humaitá	0:3 ✺
24.01.26	Independência - São Francisco Rio Branco	0:1 ✺
15.01.26	Independência - Santa Cruz Acre	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
09.08.25	Altos - Independência	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Acreano
27.01.25	Independência - Vasco da Gama AC	0:3
11.04.24	Vasco da Gama AC - Independência	0:2

Vasco da Gama AC - Independência: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide