The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Águila 52.3%
Draw 27.2%
Municipal Limeño 20.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.4%
26.8%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
52.1%
25.9%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Águila has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
Municipal Limeño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águila than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Águila - Municipal Limeño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Diaz M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Águila won 4.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Municipal Limeño may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Águila is seen as the favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Águila won 13 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:13. (average 1.4:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Águila won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.5:0.8).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
Aguila
14
5
5
4
22:18
4
20
7
Municipal Limeno
14
5
2
7
19:19
0
17
Last Results with these Odds
Águila - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.39%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.