Match Info

Primera Division - Apertura - Round 14

Date: 4 October 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO


	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca		Municipal Limeño

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.25	2.20
	2.95	3.2	2.12
	3.12	3.45	2.23
	3.09	3.33	2.24	Watch
	3.05	3.2	2.2
	3.05	3.47	2.21
	2.95	3.25	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.99 ↑ (2.8)	3.31 ↑ (3.15)	2.19 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
30.5%

Draw
27.7%

Municipal Limeño
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.9%

28.4%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4%

28%

40.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Municipal Limeño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Limeño than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Municipal Limeño Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Martinez J. 🟥,
45+3', 1 - 0, Bogota C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
64', 2 - 0, Bello N. ⚽,
66', 2 - 1, Tobar L. ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 9th and 7th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platense Municipal won 0.

Platense Municipal is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Municipal Limeño is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Platense Municipal could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Platense Municipal has recorded 4 wins, 6 draws, and 10 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:28 (averaging 0.8:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Platense Municipal against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 7:11 goals (averaging 0.7:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Municipal Limeno	14	5	2	7	19:19	0	17
8	Platense Municipal	14	4	4	6	15:19	-4	16

Last Results with these Odds

Municipal Limeño - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 39.72%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca
El Salvador Primera Division
30.09.26	Alianza San Miguel - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Fuerte San Francisco	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Águila	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Atlético Balboa - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	3:1 ✺
09.09.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Isidro Metapán	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LTLLL
- Municipal Limeño
El Salvador Primera Division
01.10.26	INCA-Aruba - Municipal Limeño	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Municipal Limeño - CD FAS	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Alianza San Miguel - Municipal Limeño	3:2 ✺
13.09.26	Fuerte San Francisco - Municipal Limeño	0:2 ✺
09.09.26	Municipal Limeño - Águila	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

El Salvador Primera Division
01.08.26	Municipal Limeño - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	1:1
18.03.26	Municipal Limeño - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	2:0
El Salvador Copa Presidente
11.03.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Municipal Limeño	1:2
El Salvador Primera Division
21.01.26	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Municipal Limeño	0:1
24.09.25	Municipal Limeño - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	1:0
23.07.25	Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca - Municipal Limeño	1:1
12.04.25	Municipal Limeño - Platense Municipal Zacatecoluca	3:2

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