Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 4

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday


	Águilas		CD Extremadura

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.98	3.55
	2.09	3.07	3.73
	2.14	3.02	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.48)	3.02 ↓ (3.08)	3.6 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águilas
44%

Draw
30.4%

CD Extremadura
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.6%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

31%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Águilas's performance.

CD Extremadura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CD Extremadura might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Águilas than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Águilas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Extremadura than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CD Extremadura could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Águilas - CD Extremadura Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Extremadura (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Extremadura (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Abenza M. ⚽,
44', 1 - 1, Dieguito ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', 1 - 2, Callejon J. ⚽,

Preview

Águilas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Extremadura is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Águilas has had a series of home games.

Águilas will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águilas FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.09.25	Águilas - Xerez CD	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Linares Deportivo - Águilas	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.08.25	Águilas - Cieza	1:1 ✺
15.08.25	Águilas - Lorca Deportiva	1:1 ✺
06.08.25	Águilas - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TTTTL
- CD Extremadura
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
21.09.25	CD Extremadura - Yeclano Deportivo	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Real Jaén - CD Extremadura	0:1 ✺
07.09.25	CD Extremadura - Atlético Malagueño	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.08.25	Badajoz - CD Extremadura	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	CD Extremadura - Cacereño	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWTL

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