Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 2

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Asane Arena (Bergen)

Referee: Hafezi M. (Nor)


	Åsane		Jerv

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.5	3.6	2.4
	2.55	3.75	2.4
	2.5	3.91	2.57
	2.4	3.5	2.45
	2.55	3.82	2.48	Watch
	2.48	3.45	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↓ (3.14)	3.65 ↑ (3.2)	2.49 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Åsane
37%

Draw
25.5%

Jerv
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

28.3%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

26.9%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Åsane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Åsane's performance.

Jerv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jerv might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Åsane than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Åsane that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jerv than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Åsane - Jerv Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Åsane won 3.

Recent matches Åsane is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Jerv is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Åsane could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Jerv have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Åsane won 3 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 18-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Åsane won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Åsane Fotbal
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.04.23	Mjøndalen - Åsane	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.23	Vélez - Åsane	0:1 ✺
11.03.23	Åsane - Junkeren	4:1 ✺
04.03.23	Åsane - Sogndal	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	Åsane - Brann	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWTL
- FK Jerv
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
10.04.23	Jerv - Ranheim	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.04.23	Vålerenga - Jerv	2:1 ✺
19.03.23	Odd - Jerv	2:1 ✺
12.03.23	Sandnes Ulf - Jerv	1:0 ✺
02.03.23	Viking Stavanger - Jerv	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
15.09.21	Jerv - Åsane	3:1
05.07.21	Åsane - Jerv	0:1
10.12.20	Jerv - Åsane	0:2
08.09.20	Åsane - Jerv	5:1
16.09.18	Åsane - Jerv	2:0
06.05.18	Jerv - Åsane	1:1
10.09.17	Åsane - Jerv	1:1

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