Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 3 - GROUP 4 - ROUND 18

Date: 4 September 2023, Monday


	Åskollen		Fredrikstad 2

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.75	2.43
	1.93	4.51	2.75
	2.15	3.75	2.7
	2	4.4	2.79
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.82)	4.1 ↑ (3.85)	2.67 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Åskollen
43.7%

Draw
22.2%

Fredrikstad 2
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

23.4%

44.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

22.7%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Åskollen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Åskollen's performance.

Fredrikstad 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fredrikstad 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Åskollen than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Åskollen that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fredrikstad 2 than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fredrikstad 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	9.1%	0%

Åskollen - Fredrikstad 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Åskollen will win (votes: 10 - 90.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Åskollen: 73.9% – 100%.

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 6 and 8).

Recent matches Åskollen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fredrikstad 2 is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fredrikstad 2 could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Åskollen won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Åskollen FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
26.08.23	Eik-Tønsberg - Åskollen	4:0 ✺
19.08.23	Åskollen - Mandalskameratene	2:1 ✺
14.08.23	Mjøndalen 2 - Åskollen	4:1 ✺
05.08.23	Åskollen - Randesund	3:1 ✺
29.07.23	Halsen - Åskollen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLWL
- Fredrikstad 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
26.08.23	Fredrikstad 2 - Vindbjart	1:2 ✺
21.08.23	Donn - Fredrikstad 2	1:0 ✺
14.08.23	Fredrikstad 2 - Sprint-Jeloy	1:2 ✺
07.08.23	Sandefjord 2 - Fredrikstad 2	2:3 ✺
31.07.23	Fredrikstad 2 - Odd 2	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
12.06.23	Fredrikstad 2 - Åskollen	6:1

Åskollen - Fredrikstad 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide